Cairns Taipans vs New Zealand Breakers prediction
Cairns Taipans
16
23
21
26
New Zealand Breakers
25
21
16
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cairns Taipans8688New Zealand Breakers8497Cairns Taipans8688New Zealand Breakers8497Total 185 Margin NZB by 9 Win NZB 72% Actual 170 · CAI won
Cairns Taipans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction New Zealand Breakers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Cairns Taipans vs New Zealand Breakers
Cairns Taipans
New Zealand Breakers
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
Cairns Taipans at home, last 4 games · New Zealand Breakers away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cairns Taipans 1, New Zealand Breakers 4.
- Average total 190.8 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NZB by 23 Sep 30, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 30, 2026 NBL New Zealand Breakers 98–75 Cairns Taipans 173 pts
- Feb 19, 2026 NBL New Zealand Breakers 115–84 Cairns Taipans 199 pts
- Jan 17, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 86–104 New Zealand Breakers 190 pts
- Dec 19, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 99–95 New Zealand Breakers 194 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 96–102 New Zealand Breakers 198 pts
Last five games
Cairns Taipans
3-2 - Oct 17: South East Melbourne 115, Cairns Taipans 83. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.38, Cairns Taipans 2.90.
- Oct 11: Illawarra Hawks 100, Cairns Taipans 110. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.74, Cairns Taipans 2.05.
- Oct 8: Cairns Taipans 97, Brisbane Bullets 91. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.60, Brisbane Bullets 2.25.
- Oct 3: Melbourne United 95, Cairns Taipans 107. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 1.17, Cairns Taipans 4.77.
- Sep 30: New Zealand Breakers 98, Cairns Taipans 75. Lost. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 1.51, Cairns Taipans 2.48.
New Zealand Breakers
3-2 - Oct 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 98, New Zealand Breakers 92. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.32, New Zealand Breakers 2.47.
- Oct 14: Sydney 101, New Zealand Breakers 102. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.11, New Zealand Breakers 3.90.
- Oct 10: Perth 100, New Zealand Breakers 84. Lost. Odds: Perth 1.34, New Zealand Breakers 3.12.
- Oct 4: Adelaide 69, New Zealand Breakers 88. Won. Odds: Adelaide 1.51, New Zealand Breakers 2.64.
- Sep 30: New Zealand Breakers 98, Cairns Taipans 75. Won. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 1.51, Cairns Taipans 2.48.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for New Zealand Breakers.
- 190.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 188.5.
- 4th vs 9th in the NBL standings.
- Different pace — Cairns Taipans averaged 83.2 possessions per game, New Zealand Breakers 77.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAI moneyline | 1.92 | moved up 1.97 |
| NZB moneyline | 1.75 | moved up 1.77 |
| Total points | 188.5 | 188.5 |
| CAI spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 | Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 | New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cairns Taipans host New Zealand Breakers in the NBL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.