Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United prediction
Cairns Taipans
33
21
19
24
Melbourne United
26
25
34
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cairns Taipans9795Melbourne United11394Cairns Taipans9795Melbourne United11394Total 189 Margin CAI by 1 Win CAI 52% Actual 210 · MEL won
Cairns Taipans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Melbourne United
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United
Cairns Taipans
Melbourne United
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Cairns Taipans at home, last 4 games · Melbourne United away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cairns Taipans 2, Melbourne United 3.
- Average total 175.4 points per meeting
- Over 195.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CAI by 12 Oct 3, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 3, 2026 NBL Melbourne United 95–107 Cairns Taipans 202 pts
- Feb 12, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 85–89 Melbourne United 174 pts
- Jan 7, 2026 NBL Melbourne United 92–93 Cairns Taipans 185 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 67–94 Melbourne United 161 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 NBL Melbourne United 95–60 Cairns Taipans 155 pts
Last five games
Cairns Taipans
4-1 - Oct 29: Brisbane Bullets 85, Cairns Taipans 107. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.83, Cairns Taipans 1.85.
- Oct 25: Cairns Taipans 86, New Zealand Breakers 84. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.77.
- Oct 17: South East Melbourne 115, Cairns Taipans 83. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.38, Cairns Taipans 2.90.
- Oct 11: Illawarra Hawks 100, Cairns Taipans 110. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.74, Cairns Taipans 2.05.
- Oct 8: Cairns Taipans 97, Brisbane Bullets 91. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.60, Brisbane Bullets 2.25.
Melbourne United
3-2 - Oct 25: Melbourne United 105, Sydney 95. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 2.12, Sydney 1.62.
- Oct 23: Perth 103, Melbourne United 102. Lost. Odds: Perth 1.85, Melbourne United 1.83.
- Oct 18: Melbourne United 89, Illawarra Hawks 91. Lost. Odds: Melbourne United 1.15, Illawarra Hawks 4.90.
- Oct 10: South East Melbourne 99, Melbourne United 104. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 2.18, Melbourne United 1.72.
- Oct 7: Adelaide 91, Melbourne United 96. Won. Odds: Adelaide 2.40, Melbourne United 1.54.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Melbourne United dropped from 1.54 to 1.35 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Melbourne United, 1 for Cairns Taipans.
- Net rating difference of 10.6 — Cairns Taipans −5.3 per 100 possessions, Melbourne United +5.3.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Melbourne United.
- 4-1 in the last five for Cairns Taipans.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAI moneyline | 2.33 | moved up 3.00 |
| MEL moneyline | 1.54 | moved down 1.35 |
| Total points | 194.5 | moved up 195.5 |
| CAI spread | +4.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 | Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 | Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cairns Taipans host Melbourne United in the NBL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.