Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 177 Margin CAI by 13 Win CAI 79% Actual 188 · CAI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Cairns Taipans at home, last 4 games · Brisbane Bullets away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cairns Taipans 4, Brisbane Bullets 1.
- Average total 175.8 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CAI by 22 Oct 29, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 29, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 85–107 Cairns Taipans 192 pts
- Feb 8, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 72–81 Cairns Taipans 153 pts
- Jan 12, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 88–83 Brisbane Bullets 171 pts
- Oct 30, 2025 NBL Brisbane Bullets 113–85 Cairns Taipans 198 pts
- Sep 26, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 83–82 Brisbane Bullets 165 pts
Last five games
- Oct 3: Melbourne United 95, Cairns Taipans 107. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 1.17, Cairns Taipans 4.77.
- Sep 30: New Zealand Breakers 98, Cairns Taipans 75. Lost. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 1.51, Cairns Taipans 2.48.
- Sep 27: Adelaide 83, Cairns Taipans 69. Lost. Odds: Adelaide 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.55.
- Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 20: Sydney 111, Cairns Taipans 90. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.60.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Sep 30: Sydney 93, Brisbane Bullets 78. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.36, Brisbane Bullets 3.03.
- Sep 25: Brisbane Bullets 103, Illawarra Hawks 95. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.90, Illawarra Hawks 1.85.
- Sep 22: Brisbane Bullets 88, New Zealand Breakers 85. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.81.
- Feb 20: Brisbane Bullets 77, Sydney 117. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Cairns Taipans dropped from 1.83 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 183.5 to 188.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Cairns Taipans.
- −10.0 points away — Brisbane Bullets averaged 98.0 at home and 88.0 away this season.
- 175.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 188.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAI moneyline | 1.83 | moved down 1.60 |
| BRI moneyline | 1.87 | moved up 2.25 |
| Total points | 183.5 | moved up 188.5 |
| CAI spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cairns Taipans host Brisbane Bullets in the NBL on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.