Caimanes del Llano vs Motilones del Norte prediction


All predictions
2 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin CDL by 9 Win CDL 68% Actual 206 · MDN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Caimanes del Llano vs Motilones del Norte
Last 12 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Caimanes del Llano at home, last 5 games · Motilones del Norte away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Caimanes del Llano 3, Motilones del Norte 2.
- Average total 165.2 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MDN by 4 Oct 18, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 18, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 77–73 Caimanes del Llano 150 pts
- Oct 9, 2026 LBP Caimanes del Llano 84–71 Motilones del Norte 155 pts
- Apr 21, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 103–100 Caimanes del Llano 203 pts
- Apr 20, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 86–89 Caimanes del Llano 175 pts
- Oct 16, 2025 LBP Caimanes del Llano 78–65 Motilones del Norte 143 pts
Last five games
- Oct 5: Piratas de Bogota 63, Caimanes del Llano 67. Won. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 2.60, Caimanes del Llano 1.42.
- Oct 4: Piratas de Bogota 70, Caimanes del Llano 92. Won. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 1.64, Caimanes del Llano 2.08.
- May 25: Caimanes del Llano 97, Paisas 105. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 22: Paisas 88, Caimanes del Llano 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Paisas 80, Caimanes del Llano 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Capitanes Bogota 71, Motilones del Norte 81. Won. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 1.20, Motilones del Norte 4.00.
- Oct 1: Motilones del Norte 95, Piratas de Bogota 87. Won. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.75, Piratas de Bogota 1.93.
- Sep 30: Motilones del Norte 80, Piratas de Bogota 83. Lost. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.65, Piratas de Bogota 2.05.
- May 11: Motilones del Norte 107, Sabios Baloncesto 99. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Motilones del Norte 89, Sabios Baloncesto 94. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Caimanes del Llano.
- −8.7 points away — Motilones del Norte averaged 88.4 at home and 79.7 away this season.
- 165.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 161.5.
- 3rd vs 1st in the LBP standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CDL moneyline | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| MDN moneyline | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LBP standings
Clausura · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1035 | 980 | +55 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 934 | 917 | +17 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 947 | 899 | +48 | |
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 799 | 919 | −120 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Caimanes del Llano host Motilones del Norte in the LBP on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.