CAB Madeira vs Sporting CP prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin MAD by 6 Win MAD 65% Actual 177 · MAD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
CAB Madeira vs Sporting CP
Last 30 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
CAB Madeira at home, last 18 games · Sporting CP away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 10: CD Povoa 73, CAB Madeira 69. Lost. Odds: CD Povoa 1.38, CAB Madeira 2.81.
- Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 24: CAB Madeira 90, CD Povoa 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 14: SCM Craiova 77, Sporting CP 97. Won. Odds: SCM Craiova 1.68, Sporting CP 2.10.
- Oct 10: Sporting CP 88, Esgueira 60. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.01, Esgueira 10.50.
- Oct 7: Sporting CP 79, Rilski Sportist 75. After overtime. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.30, Rilski Sportist 3.10.
- Oct 3: Benfica 84, Sporting CP 71. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.10, Sporting CP 5.20.
- Sep 26: FC Porto 80, Sporting CP 76. Lost. Odds: FC Porto 1.44, Sporting CP 2.64.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for CAB Madeira coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Sporting CP coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for CAB Madeira, 2 for Sporting CP.
- Over/under moved up from 157.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- 9th vs 6th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAD moneyline | 2.65 | moved down 2.40 |
| SPO moneyline | 1.42 | moved down 1.34 |
| Total points | 157.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| MAD spread | +5.5 | +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
CAB Madeira host Sporting CP in the LPB on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.