CAB Madeira vs Benfica prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 142 Margin BEN by 10 Win BEN 77% Actual 156 · MAD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
CAB Madeira vs Benfica
Last 25 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
CAB Madeira at home, last 12 games · Benfica away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: CAB Madeira 1, Benfica 1.
- Average total 124.0 points per meeting
- Over 141.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAD by 12 Jan 18, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 18, 2026 LFB Women CAB Madeira 80–68 Benfica 148 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 LFB Women Benfica 72–28 CAB Madeira 100 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Uniao Sportiva 71, CAB Madeira 78. Won. Odds: Uniao Sportiva 1.96, CAB Madeira 1.74.
- Oct 5: Barcelos 71, CAB Madeira 81. Won. Odds: Barcelos 1.28, CAB Madeira 3.25.
- Mar 22: Gdessa Barreiro 81, CAB Madeira 50. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: CAB Madeira 74, Quinta Dos Lombos 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 28: Sanjoanense 73, CAB Madeira 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 13: Benfica 69, Saarlouis 66. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.72, Saarlouis 1.96.
- Oct 10: Benfica 97, Sanjoanense 50. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.02, Sanjoanense 11.00.
- Oct 4: Sporting CP 63, Benfica 75. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 3.20, Benfica 1.28.
- Sep 27: Benfica 73, Gdessa Barreiro 31. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.25, Gdessa Barreiro 3.50.
- May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Benfica coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on CAB Madeira dropped from 7.30 to 4.85 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for CAB Madeira, 3 for Benfica.
- Net rating difference of 25.8 — CAB Madeira −5.7 per 100 possessions, Benfica +20.1.
- 1st vs 2nd in the LFB Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAD moneyline | 7.30 | moved down 4.85 |
| BEN moneyline | 1.04 | moved up 1.05 |
| Total points | 142.5 | moved down 141.5 |
| MAD spread | +16.5 | moved down +15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LFB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 391 | 347 | +44 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 329 | +80 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 372 | 308 | +64 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 359 | 309 | +50 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 376 | 378 | −2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 372 | 406 | −34 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 391 | +1 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 343 | 359 | −16 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 371 | 388 | −17 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 329 | 374 | −45 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 326 | 377 | −51 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 324 | 398 | −74 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
CAB Madeira host Benfica in the LFB Women on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.