CA Queluz vs Benfica prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin BEN by 12 Win BEN 76% Actual 161 · BEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
CA Queluz vs Benfica
Last 24 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
CA Queluz at home, last 12 games · Benfica away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: CA Queluz 0, Benfica 2.
- Average total 177.5 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BEN by 38 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 LPB Benfica 106–68 CA Queluz 174 pts
- Nov 9, 2025 LPB CA Queluz 80–101 Benfica 181 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Portimonense 83, CA Queluz 87. Won. Odds: Portimonense 2.00, CA Queluz 1.52.
- Oct 2: CA Queluz 93, FC Porto 110. Lost. Odds: CA Queluz 7.00, FC Porto 1.06.
- Apr 25: CA Queluz 105, Galitos Barreiro 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Sporting CP 83, CA Queluz 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Ovarense 73, CA Queluz 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 21: Benfica 98, BC Prievidza 83. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.28, BC Prievidza 3.25.
- Oct 17: Benfica 92, Oliveirense 67. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.11, Oliveirense 3.90.
- Oct 14: Benfica 96, Denizli Basket 91. Won. Odds: Benfica 2.18, Denizli Basket 1.42.
- Oct 11: FC Porto 93, Benfica 86. Lost. Odds: FC Porto 1.75, Benfica 1.95.
- Oct 7: Bakken Bears 81, Benfica 91. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.97, Benfica 1.78.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Benfica coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for CA Queluz, 2 for Benfica.
- Over/under moved up from 172.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.8 — CA Queluz −5.5 per 100 possessions, Benfica +10.3.
- 10th vs 3rd in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| QUE moneyline | 7.50 | moved down 6.50 |
| BEN moneyline | 1.03 | moved up 1.04 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| QUE spread | +16.5 | moved down +15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
CA Queluz host Benfica in the LPB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.