Bydgoszcz vs Zielona Gora prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin BYD by 2 Win BYD 54% Actual 200 · BYD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Bydgoszcz vs Zielona Gora
Last 5 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- May 27: Bydgoszcz 96, LKS Lodz 87. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: LKS Lodz 88, Bydgoszcz 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: LKS Lodz 74, Bydgoszcz 81. Won. No odds on record.
- May 17: Bydgoszcz 84, LKS Lodz 64. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: Bydgoszcz 71, LKS Lodz 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 27: Legia 110, Zielona Gora 96. Lost. Odds: Legia 1.50, Zielona Gora 2.50.
- Sep 26: Dziki Warszawa 77, Zielona Gora 81. Won. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.42, Zielona Gora 2.60.
- Jun 21: Legia 78, Zielona Gora 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 19: Zielona Gora 76, Legia 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 17: Legia 84, Zielona Gora 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 166.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.9 — Bydgoszcz −6.8 per 100 possessions, Zielona Gora +0.1.
- 12th vs 4th in the Energa Basket Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BYD moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 2.45 |
| ZIE moneyline | 1.55 | moved down 1.51 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| BYD spread | +4.5 | moved down +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 457 | 412 | +45 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 453 | 372 | +81 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 429 | 388 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 432 | 432 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 399 | 398 | +1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 436 | 395 | +41 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 423 | 407 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 418 | −18 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 422 | +6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 412 | −9 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 434 | 448 | −14 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 442 | 467 | −25 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 411 | −19 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 375 | 420 | −45 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 391 | 420 | −29 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 395 | 467 | −72 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - 1. Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bydgoszcz host Zielona Gora in the Energa Basket Liga on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.