Bursaspor vs Karsiyaka prediction
Bursaspor
19
20
18
26
Karsiyaka
21
21
24
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bursaspor8379Karsiyaka8684Bursaspor8379Karsiyaka8684Total 163 Margin KAR by 5 Win KAR 63% Actual 169 · KAR won
Bursaspor
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Karsiyaka
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Bursaspor vs Karsiyaka
Bursaspor
Karsiyaka
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bursaspor 1, Karsiyaka 1.
- Average total 168.0 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KAR by 2 May 10, 2026
Meetings
- May 10, 2026 Basketbol Süper Ligi Karsiyaka 84–82 Bursaspor 166 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 Basketbol Süper Ligi Bursaspor 86–84 Karsiyaka 170 pts
Last five games
Bursaspor
1-4 - Oct 23: Cayirova 83, Bursaspor 64. Lost. Odds: Cayirova 1.67, Bursaspor 2.05.
- Oct 17: Bursaspor 80, Bahcesehir Kol. 90. Lost. Odds: Bursaspor 4.15, Bahcesehir Kol. 1.19.
- Oct 12: Galatasaray 88, Bursaspor 93. Won. Odds: Galatasaray 1.22, Bursaspor 3.83.
- Oct 3: Bursaspor 69, Turk Telekom 78. Lost. Odds: Bursaspor 3.10, Turk Telekom 1.32.
- Sep 27: Trabzonspor 82, Bursaspor 76. Lost. Odds: Trabzonspor 1.21, Bursaspor 4.20.
Karsiyaka
2-3 - Oct 25: Karsiyaka 72, Fenerbahce 97. Lost. Odds: Karsiyaka 3.60, Fenerbahce 1.24.
- Oct 16: Karsiyaka 95, Cayirova 79. Won. Odds: Karsiyaka 1.64, Cayirova 2.20.
- Oct 10: Bahcesehir Kol. 92, Karsiyaka 82. Lost. Odds: Bahcesehir Kol. 1.09, Karsiyaka 6.56.
- Oct 2: Karsiyaka 78, Galatasaray 71. After overtime. Won. Odds: Karsiyaka 2.80, Galatasaray 1.36.
- Sep 26: Turk Telekom 73, Karsiyaka 72. Lost. Odds: Turk Telekom 1.05, Karsiyaka 8.76.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 168.5 to 163.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.9 — Bursaspor −11.0 per 100 possessions, Karsiyaka −4.1.
- 1-4 in the last five for Bursaspor.
- 15th vs 8th in the Basketbol Süper Ligi standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BUR moneyline | 1.83 | moved down 1.75 |
| KAR moneyline | 1.83 | moved up 1.93 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved down 163.5 |
| BUR spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketbol Süper Ligi standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Turk Telekom |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 491 | 430 | +61 |
| 2 |  Bahcesehir Kol. |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 552 | 520 | +32 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahce |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 530 | 498 | +32 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 500 | 492 | +8 |
| 5 |  Esenler Erokspor |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 499 | 503 | −4 |
| 6 |  Anadolu Efes |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 428 | 386 | +42 |
| 7 |  Galatasaray |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 475 | +55 |
| 8 | Karsiyaka |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 |  Tofas |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 476 | 508 | −32 |
| 10 |  Petkim Spor |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 417 | +1 |
| 11 |  Korfez Basket |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 492 | 507 | −15 |
| 12 | Bordo Bandirma | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 498 | 514 | −16 |
| 13 |  Besiktas |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 413 | 444 | −31 |
| 14 |  Denizli Basket |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 478 | 516 | −38 |
| 15 | Bursaspor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 465 | 507 | −42 |
| 16 |  Cayirova |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 445 | −43 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation - TBL
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bursaspor host Karsiyaka in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.