Broni vs Venezia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 135 Margin VEN by 13 Win VEN 79% Actual 154 · VEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Broni vs Venezia
Last 25 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Broni at home, last 12 games · Venezia away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Broni 0, Venezia 2.
- Average total 120.0 points per meeting
- Over 139.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VEN by 15 Feb 22, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 22, 2026 Serie A1 Women Venezia 72–57 Broni 129 pts
- Dec 3, 2025 Serie A1 Women Broni 45–66 Venezia 111 pts
Last five games
- Oct 4: San Giovanni 94, Broni 71. Lost. Odds: San Giovanni 1.08, Broni 5.78.
- Mar 29: Broni 54, Schio 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 25: Schio 77, Broni 57. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 4: Derthona Basket 76, Broni 51. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 1: Broni 59, San Martino 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Venezia 92, Brixia 50. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.02, Brixia 9.05.
- Sep 30: Venezia 55, Flammes Carolo 81. Lost. Odds: Venezia 1.22, Flammes Carolo 4.01.
- Apr 26: Schio 70, Venezia 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Venezia 53, Schio 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Schio 60, Venezia 71. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Broni coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 136.5 to 139.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 38.4 — Broni −16.1 per 100 possessions, Venezia +22.3.
- 10th vs 2nd in the Serie A1 Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRO moneyline | 8.00 | moved down 7.09 |
| VEN moneyline | 1.06 | moved down 1.04 |
| Total points | 136.5 | moved up 139.5 |
| BRO spread | +15.5 | moved up +19.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A1 Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 356 | 223 | +133 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 251 | +87 | |
| 3 | Derthona Basket | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 240 | +61 |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 258 | 252 | +6 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 270 | 270 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 269 | 305 | −36 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 275 | 280 | −5 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 394 | 355 | +39 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 265 | 279 | −14 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 283 | 317 | −34 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 166 | 264 | −98 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 238 | 377 | −139 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Broni host Venezia in the Serie A1 Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.