Brixia vs San Martino prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 143 Margin SAN by 9 Win SAN 71% Actual 154 · SAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Brixia vs San Martino
Last 29 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions
Brixia at home, last 14 games · San Martino away, last 12
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Brixia 1, San Martino 1.
- Average total 136.5 points per meeting
- Over 143.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRI by 5 Feb 1, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 1, 2026 Serie A1 Women Brixia 78–73 San Martino 151 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 Serie A1 Women San Martino 62–60 Brixia 122 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Libertas Livorno 104, Brixia 59. Lost. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.05, Brixia 6.00.
- Oct 11: Brixia 58, Derthona Basket 98. Lost. Odds: Brixia 5.91, Derthona Basket 1.08.
- Oct 3: Venezia 92, Brixia 50. Lost. Odds: Venezia 1.02, Brixia 9.05.
- Apr 16: Brixia 72, Battipaglia 63. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Battipaglia 74, Brixia 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 18: San Martino 46, Venezia 75. Lost. Odds: San Martino 7.30, Venezia 1.02.
- Oct 11: Campobasso 84, San Martino 56. Lost. Odds: Campobasso 1.08, San Martino 5.80.
- Oct 3: San Martino 84, Roseto 75. Won. Odds: San Martino 1.72, Roseto 1.95.
- Mar 26: San Martino 56, Venezia 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 23: Venezia 80, San Martino 51. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Brixia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on San Martino dropped from 1.42 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.8 — Brixia −21.6 per 100 possessions, San Martino −6.8.
- 1-4 in the last five for San Martino.
- 12th vs 6th in the Serie A1 Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRI moneyline | 2.55 | moved up 3.00 |
| SAN moneyline | 1.42 | moved down 1.28 |
| Total points | 142.5 | moved up 143.5 |
| BRI spread | +4.5 | moved up +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A1 Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 356 | 223 | +133 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 251 | +87 | |
| 3 | Derthona Basket | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 240 | +61 |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 258 | 252 | +6 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 270 | 270 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 269 | 305 | −36 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 275 | 280 | −5 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 394 | 355 | +39 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 265 | 279 | −14 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 283 | 317 | −34 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 166 | 264 | −98 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 238 | 377 | −139 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Brixia host San Martino in the Serie A1 Women on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.