Brixia vs Derthona Basket Prediction & Odds

Serie A1 Women Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start12:00ET Round 2

BrixiaHome · 0-4 · 12th · 5.91

5813181314

Derthona BasketAway · 1.08

9831182821

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Brixia 13 18 13 14

Derthona Basket 31 18 28 21

FT PalaLeonessa · ItalyPalaLeonessa · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.08 85%

Derthona Basket to win edge −0.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.08 Derthona Basket to win Confidence85% model 83.9% · market 84.4% edge −0.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.08 83.9% 84.4% −0.5% 85% Won

Total points U140.5 1.91 52.8% 52.4% +0.4% 54% Lost

Point spread BRI +19.5 1.84 50.2% 49.9% +0.3% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Brixia5862

Derthona Basket9877

Total 139 actual 156

Winning margin DER by 15 actual DER by 40

Chance to win DER 84% DER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Brixia5862

Derthona Basket9877

Total 139 Margin DER by 15 Win DER 84% Actual 156 · DER won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Brixia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Derthona Basket

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Brixia vs Derthona Basket

Brixia Derthona Basket

Last 29 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Brixia 2-3

Oct 3: Venezia 92, Brixia 50. Lost. Odds: Venezia 1.02, Brixia 9.05.
Apr 16: Brixia 72, Battipaglia 63. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Battipaglia 74, Brixia 58. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 8: Brixia 95, Battipaglia 77. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 2: Sassari 66, Brixia 51. Lost. No odds on record.

Derthona Basket 3-2

Oct 4: Derthona Basket 75, Battipaglia 54. Won. Odds: Derthona Basket 1.03, Battipaglia 7.59.
Apr 11: Derthona Basket 49, Schio 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 7: Schio 85, Derthona Basket 69. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 29: San Giovanni 70, Derthona Basket 78. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 25: Derthona Basket 76, San Giovanni 70. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BRI moneyline	5.50	moved up 5.91
DER moneyline	1.02	moved up 1.08
Total points	139.5	moved up 141.5
BRI spread	+19.5	moved down +17.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A1 Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Schio	4	4	0	1.000	356	223	+133
2	Venezia	4	4	0	1.000	338	251	+87
3	Derthona Basket	4	3	1	.750	301	240	+61
4	San Giovanni	4	3	1	.750	258	252	+6
5	Campobasso	4	2	2	.500	270	270	0
6	San Martino	4	2	2	.500	269	305	−36
7	Roseto	4	2	2	.500	275	280	−5
8	Libertas Livorno	5	2	3	.400	394	355	+39
9	Battipaglia	4	1	3	.250	265	279	−14
10	Broni	4	1	3	.250	283	317	−34
11	Costa Masnaga	3	0	3	.000	166	264	−98
12	Brixia	4	0	4	.000	238	377	−139

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Brixia host Derthona Basket in the Serie A1 Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.