Brisbane Bullets vs Tasmania JackJumpers prediction
Brisbane Bullets
23
24
18
26
8
Tasmania JackJumpers
17
23
34
17
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Brisbane Bullets9979Tasmania JackJumpers10990Brisbane Bullets9979Tasmania JackJumpers10990Total 169 Margin TAS by 11 Win TAS 77% Actual 208 · TAS won
Brisbane Bullets
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tasmania JackJumpers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Brisbane Bullets vs Tasmania JackJumpers
Brisbane Bullets
Tasmania JackJumpers
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Brisbane Bullets at home, last 5 games · Tasmania JackJumpers away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Brisbane Bullets 1, Tasmania JackJumpers 3.
- Average total 176.3 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAS by 21 Oct 21, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 21, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 106–85 Brisbane Bullets 191 pts
- Feb 6, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 114–70 Brisbane Bullets 184 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 81–83 Brisbane Bullets 164 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 NBL Brisbane Bullets 82–84 Tasmania JackJumpers 166 pts
Last five games
Brisbane Bullets
2-3 - Sep 30: Sydney 93, Brisbane Bullets 78. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.36, Brisbane Bullets 3.03.
- Sep 25: Brisbane Bullets 103, Illawarra Hawks 95. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.90, Illawarra Hawks 1.85.
- Sep 22: Brisbane Bullets 88, New Zealand Breakers 85. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.81.
- Feb 20: Brisbane Bullets 77, Sydney 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 13: Perth 94, Brisbane Bullets 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Tasmania JackJumpers
2-3 - Oct 1: Tasmania JackJumpers 84, Melbourne United 82. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 3.00, Melbourne United 1.36.
- Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 96, South East Melbourne 91. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 2.55, South East Melbourne 1.47.
- Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 70, Illawarra Hawks 103. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Brisbane Bullets dropped from 1.95 to 1.71 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.9 — Brisbane Bullets −3.5 per 100 possessions, Tasmania JackJumpers +6.4.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- +10.0 points at home — Brisbane Bullets averaged 98.0 at home and 88.0 away this season.
- 176.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 182.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRI moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.71 |
| TAS moneyline | 1.80 | moved up 2.09 |
| Total points | 181.5 | moved up 182.5 |
| BRI spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Brisbane Bullets host Tasmania JackJumpers in the NBL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.