Brisbane Bullets vs South East Melbourne prediction
Brisbane Bullets
30
26
34
25
South East Melbourne
24
31
29
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Brisbane Bullets11593South East Melbourne10591Brisbane Bullets11593South East Melbourne10591Total 184 Margin BRI by 2 Win BRI 54% Actual 220 · BRI won
Brisbane Bullets
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction South East Melbourne
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Brisbane Bullets vs South East Melbourne
Brisbane Bullets
South East Melbourne
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Brisbane Bullets at home, last 5 games · South East Melbourne away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Brisbane Bullets 0, South East Melbourne 3.
- Average total 186.3 points per meeting
- Over 192.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SEM by 29 Dec 20, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 20, 2025 NBL South East Melbourne 107–78 Brisbane Bullets 185 pts
- Nov 20, 2025 NBL Brisbane Bullets 76–103 South East Melbourne 179 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 NBL Brisbane Bullets 86–109 South East Melbourne 195 pts
Last five games
Brisbane Bullets
2-3 - Oct 8: Cairns Taipans 97, Brisbane Bullets 91. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.60, Brisbane Bullets 2.25.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Sep 30: Sydney 93, Brisbane Bullets 78. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.36, Brisbane Bullets 3.03.
- Sep 25: Brisbane Bullets 103, Illawarra Hawks 95. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.90, Illawarra Hawks 1.85.
- Sep 22: Brisbane Bullets 88, New Zealand Breakers 85. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.81.
South East Melbourne
1-4 - Oct 10: South East Melbourne 99, Melbourne United 104. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 2.18, Melbourne United 1.72.
- Oct 4: South East Melbourne 113, Illawarra Hawks 96. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.60, Illawarra Hawks 2.27.
- Oct 2: Perth 92, South East Melbourne 88. Lost. Odds: Perth 2.58, South East Melbourne 1.48.
- Sep 24: South East Melbourne 61, Melbourne United 86. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 2.10, Melbourne United 1.70.
- Sep 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 96, South East Melbourne 91. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 2.55, South East Melbourne 1.47.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Brisbane Bullets coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Brisbane Bullets dropped from 3.35 to 2.50 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Brisbane Bullets, 4 for South East Melbourne.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for South East Melbourne.
- Over/under moved up from 186.5 to 192.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRI moneyline | 3.35 | moved down 2.50 |
| SEM moneyline | 1.28 | moved up 1.31 |
| Total points | 186.5 | moved up 192.5 |
| BRI spread | +7.5 | moved down +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 | South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Brisbane Bullets host South East Melbourne in the NBL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.