Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks prediction
Brisbane Bullets
25
25
23
30
Illawarra Hawks
18
24
24
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Brisbane Bullets10387Illawarra Hawks9597Brisbane Bullets10387Illawarra Hawks9597Total 184 Margin ILL by 10 Win ILL 74% Actual 198 · BRI won
Brisbane Bullets
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Illawarra Hawks
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks
Brisbane Bullets
Illawarra Hawks
Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Brisbane Bullets at home, last 5 games · Illawarra Hawks away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Brisbane Bullets 1, Illawarra Hawks 3.
- Average total 189.3 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRI by 17 Oct 24, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 24, 2026 NBL Illawarra Hawks 81–98 Brisbane Bullets 179 pts
- Jan 26, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 75–113 Illawarra Hawks 188 pts
- Dec 11, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 100–85 Brisbane Bullets 185 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 116–89 Brisbane Bullets 205 pts
Last five games
Brisbane Bullets
1-4 - Sep 22: Brisbane Bullets 88, New Zealand Breakers 85. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.81.
- Feb 20: Brisbane Bullets 77, Sydney 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 13: Perth 94, Brisbane Bullets 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Brisbane Bullets 72, Cairns Taipans 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 6: Tasmania JackJumpers 114, Brisbane Bullets 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Illawarra Hawks
2-3 - Sep 20: New Zealand Breakers 95, Illawarra Hawks 81. Lost. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 2.21, Illawarra Hawks 1.64.
- Feb 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 70, Illawarra Hawks 103. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: Melbourne United 91, Illawarra Hawks 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 13: Illawarra Hawks 94, Sydney 120. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 7: New Zealand Breakers 106, Illawarra Hawks 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Illawarra Hawks dropped from 2.14 to 1.85 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Illawarra Hawks, 2 for Brisbane Bullets.
- 1-4 away for Illawarra Hawks this season.
- Over/under moved up from 182.5 to 188.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — Brisbane Bullets −3.5 per 100 possessions, Illawarra Hawks −10.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRI moneyline | 1.68 | moved up 1.90 |
| ILL moneyline | 2.14 | moved down 1.85 |
| Total points | 182.5 | moved up 188.5 |
| BRI spread · regulation | −2.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Brisbane Bullets host Illawarra Hawks in the NBL on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.