Breogan vs Joventut Badalona prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 184 Margin JOV by 8 Win JOV 72% Actual 214 · BRE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Breogan vs Joventut Badalona
Last 8 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Breogan 1, Joventut Badalona 1.
- Average total 168.5 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRE by 7 Apr 26, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 26, 2026 ACB Breogan 93–86 Joventut Badalona 179 pts
- Dec 27, 2025 ACB Joventut Badalona 83–75 Breogan 158 pts
Last five games
- Sep 19: Dziki Warszawa 113, Breogan 110. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 5.50, Breogan 1.11.
- Sep 17: Manchester Basketball 84, Breogan 105. Won. Odds: Manchester Basketball 10.00, Breogan 1.02.
- Sep 14: Breogan 126, Rilski Sportist 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 29: Breogan 94, Basket Zaragoza 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Unicaja 101, Breogan 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 20: Joventut Badalona 101, Barcelona 87. Won. Odds: Joventut Badalona 2.02, Barcelona 1.74.
- Sep 19: Joventut Badalona 96, Baskonia 84. Won. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.41, Baskonia 2.74.
- Jun 14: Joventut Badalona 75, Valencia 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 12: Valencia 90, Joventut Badalona 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 10: Valencia 118, Joventut Badalona 117. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 174.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- 5th vs 14th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRE moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 2.63 |
| JOV moneyline | 1.55 | moved down 1.46 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| BRE spread | +3.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Breogan host Joventut Badalona in the ACB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.