Breogan vs Basquet Girona prediction
Breogan
30
31
23
31
Basquet Girona
22
19
23
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Breogan115103Basquet Girona9289Breogan115103Basquet Girona9289Total 192 Margin BRE by 14 Win BRE 82% Actual 207 · BRE won
Breogan
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Basquet Girona
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Breogan vs Basquet Girona
Breogan
Basquet Girona
Last 8 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Breogan at home, last 4 games · Basquet Girona away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Breogan 1, Basquet Girona 1.
- Average total 177.0 points per meeting
- Over 185.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRE by 19 May 16, 2026
Meetings
- May 16, 2026 ACB Breogan 95–76 Basquet Girona 171 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 ACB Basquet Girona 103–80 Breogan 183 pts
Last five games
Breogan
4-1 - Oct 3: Manresa 95, Breogan 101. Won. Odds: Manresa 1.55, Breogan 2.40.
- Sep 27: Breogan 110, Joventut Badalona 104. Won. Odds: Breogan 2.63, Joventut Badalona 1.46.
- Sep 19: Dziki Warszawa 113, Breogan 110. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 5.50, Breogan 1.11.
- Sep 17: Manchester Basketball 84, Breogan 105. Won. Odds: Manchester Basketball 10.00, Breogan 1.02.
- Sep 14: Breogan 126, Rilski Sportist 80. Won. No odds on record.
Basquet Girona
3-2 - Oct 6: Basquet Girona 87, Dinamo Bucharest 75. Won. Odds: Basquet Girona 1.14, Dinamo Bucharest 4.75.
- Oct 4: Baskonia 118, Basquet Girona 78. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.20, Basquet Girona 4.31.
- Sep 27: Basquet Girona 84, Murcia 77. Won. Odds: Basquet Girona 2.21, Murcia 1.64.
- May 29: Basquet Girona 82, Joventut Badalona 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: Bilbao 86, Basquet Girona 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Breogan dropped from 1.45 to 1.32 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Breogan, 3 for Basquet Girona.
- Net rating difference of 14.4 — Breogan +10.7 per 100 possessions, Basquet Girona −3.7.
- 4-1 in the last five for Breogan.
- 5th vs 12th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRE moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.32 |
| BAS moneyline | 2.55 | moved up 3.05 |
| Total points | 184.5 | moved up 185.5 |
| BRE spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 | Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 | Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 |  San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Breogan host Basquet Girona in the ACB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.