Brasilia vs Paulistano prediction
Brasilia
29
25
18
19
Paulistano
22
16
16
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Brasilia9183Paulistano7377Brasilia9183Paulistano7377Total 160 Margin BRA by 6 Win BRA 66% Actual 164 · BRA won
Brasilia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Paulistano
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Brasilia vs Paulistano
Brasilia
Paulistano
Last 29 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Brasilia at home, last 27 games · Paulistano away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Brasilia 1, Paulistano 1.
- Average total 144.5 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PAU by 2 Jan 19, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 19, 2026 NBB Paulistano 83–81 OT Brasilia 164 pts · OT
- Oct 30, 2025 NBB Brasilia 71–54 Paulistano 125 pts
Last five games
Brasilia
3-2 - Oct 22: Brasilia 104, Corinthians Paulista 92. Won. Odds: Brasilia 1.38, Corinthians Paulista 2.80.
- May 28: Franca 68, Brasilia 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Franca 69, Brasilia 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Brasilia 74, Franca 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Brasilia 67, Franca 50. Won. No odds on record.
Paulistano
2-3 - Oct 21: Pato 74, Paulistano 80. Won. Odds: Pato 3.20, Paulistano 1.18.
- May 9: Paulistano 74, Pinheiros 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Paulistano 68, Pinheiros 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Pinheiros 101, Paulistano 92. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Paulistano 71, Bauru 62. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Brasilia, who played yesterday.
- 2nd vs 7th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRA moneyline | 1.44 | moved down 1.36 |
| PAU moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 3.00 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved up 155.5 |
| BRA spread | −5.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 | Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 | Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Brasilia host Paulistano in the NBB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.