Brasilia vs Corinthians Paulista prediction
Brasilia
29
17
31
27
Corinthians Paulista
28
17
27
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Brasilia10480Corinthians Paulista9278Brasilia10480Corinthians Paulista9278Total 158 Margin BRA by 2 Win BRA 59% Actual 196 · BRA won
Brasilia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Corinthians Paulista
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Brasilia vs Corinthians Paulista
Brasilia
Corinthians Paulista
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Brasilia at home, last 27 games · Corinthians Paulista away, last 24
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Brasilia 1, Corinthians Paulista 1.
- Average total 154.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRA by 15 Mar 20, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 20, 2026 NBB Brasilia 89–74 Corinthians Paulista 163 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 NBB Corinthians Paulista 79–66 Brasilia 145 pts
Last five games
Brasilia
2-3 - May 28: Franca 68, Brasilia 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Franca 69, Brasilia 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Brasilia 74, Franca 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Brasilia 67, Franca 50. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: Franca 76, Brasilia 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Corinthians Paulista
1-4 - Oct 17: Mogi 84, Corinthians Paulista 73. Lost. Odds: Mogi 1.28, Corinthians Paulista 3.30.
- May 26: Pinheiros 88, Corinthians Paulista 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Corinthians Paulista 81, Pinheiros 82. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Corinthians Paulista 98, Pinheiros 84. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: Pinheiros 95, Corinthians Paulista 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Corinthians Paulista coming into this game.
- 2nd vs 12th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRA moneyline | 1.35 | moved up 1.38 |
| COR moneyline | 2.90 | moved down 2.80 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| BRA spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 | Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 | Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Brasilia host Corinthians Paulista in the NBB on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.