Braga vs Vitoria Prediction & Odds

LPB Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start10:00ET Round 3

BragaHome · 4-1 · 4th · 1.28

9120232622

VitoriaAway · 2-2 · 7th · 2.95

7212182220

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Braga 20 23 26 22

Vitoria 12 18 22 20

FT AMCO Arena · PortugalAMCO Arena · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.28 86%

Braga to win edge −4.0%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.28 Braga to win Confidence86% model 63.1% · market 67.1% edge −4.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.28 63.1% 67.1% −4.0% 86% Won

Total points U177.5 1.42 69.3% 64.9% +4.4% 80% Won

Point spread BRA +2.5 1.28 68.4% 72.5% −4.1% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Braga9187

Vitoria7282

Total 169 actual 163

Winning margin BRA by 5 actual BRA by 19

Chance to win BRA 63% BRA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Braga9187

Vitoria7282

Total 169 Margin BRA by 5 Win BRA 63% Actual 163 · BRA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Braga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Vitoria

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Braga vs Vitoria

Braga Vitoria

Last 28 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Braga 2-3

Oct 11: Braga 105, Portimonense 71. Won. Odds: Braga 1.18, Portimonense 4.35.
Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Lost. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
May 13: Braga 79, Benfica 94. Lost. No odds on record.
May 9: Benfica 90, Braga 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Ovarense 67, Braga 74. Won. No odds on record.

Vitoria 3-2

Oct 10: Vitoria 71, Ovarense 87. Lost. Odds: Vitoria 1.82, Ovarense 1.65.
Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Vitoria 84, Oliveirense 74. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Vasco Da Gama 96, Vitoria 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: Vitoria 93, Esgueira 87. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BRA moneyline	1.32	moved down 1.28
VIT moneyline	2.47	moved up 2.95
Total points	170.5	170.5
BRA spread	−5.5	moved down −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Braga host Vitoria in the LPB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.