Braga vs Sporting CP Prediction & Odds

LPB Sunday, November 1, 2026Sun, Nov 1 Start10:00ET Round 5

BragaHome · 4-1 · 4th · 1.90

9824222032

Sporting CPAway · 2-3 · 6th · 1.80

8623192123

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Braga 24 22 20 32

Sporting CP 23 19 21 23

FT AMCO Arena · PortugalAMCO Arena · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

BRA +9.5 1.26 64%

Braga +9.5 on the spread edge −8.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won BRA +9.5 1.26 Braga +9.5 on the spread Confidence64% model 64.1% · market 72.2% edge −8.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.90 50.2% 46.6% +3.6% 51% Won

Total points U168.5 1.49 64.8% 64.6% +0.2% 65% Lost

Point spread BRA +9.5 1.26 64.1% 72.2% −8.1% 64% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Braga9881

Sporting CP8677

Total 158 actual 184

Winning margin BRA by 4 actual BRA by 12

Chance to win BRA 59% BRA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Braga9881

Sporting CP8677

Total 158 Margin BRA by 4 Win BRA 59% Actual 184 · BRA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 9+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Braga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Sporting CP

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Braga vs Sporting CP

Braga Sporting CP

Last 28 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Braga 3-2

Oct 25: CD Povoa 71, Braga 80. Won. Odds: CD Povoa 1.55, Braga 2.10.
Oct 18: Braga 91, Vitoria 72. Won. Odds: Braga 1.28, Vitoria 2.95.
Oct 11: Braga 105, Portimonense 71. Won. Odds: Braga 1.18, Portimonense 4.35.
Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Lost. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
May 13: Braga 79, Benfica 94. Lost. No odds on record.

Sporting CP 3-2

Oct 29: Gence 69, Sporting CP 67. Lost. Odds: Gence 4.00, Sporting CP 1.20.
Oct 24: Sporting CP 71, Ovarense 70. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.30, Ovarense 2.80.
Oct 21: Sporting CP 71, Kolossos Rhodes 69. After overtime. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.98, Kolossos Rhodes 1.53.
Oct 17: CAB Madeira 93, Sporting CP 84. Lost. Odds: CAB Madeira 2.40, Sporting CP 1.34.
Oct 14: SCM Craiova 77, Sporting CP 97. Won. Odds: SCM Craiova 1.68, Sporting CP 2.10.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BRA moneyline	2.40	moved down 1.90
SPO moneyline	1.52	moved up 1.80
Total points	161.5	moved up 163.5
BRA spread	+3.5	moved down +1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Braga host Sporting CP in the LPB on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.