Braga vs Portimonense prediction
Braga
28
33
17
27
Portimonense
18
21
18
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Braga10577Portimonense7182Braga10577Portimonense7182Total 159 Margin POR by 5 Win POR 60% Actual 176 · BRA won
Braga
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Portimonense
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Braga vs Portimonense
Braga
Portimonense
Last 28 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Braga at home, last 14 games · Portimonense away, last 18
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Braga
1-4 - Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Lost. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
- May 13: Braga 79, Benfica 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Benfica 90, Braga 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Ovarense 67, Braga 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Braga 68, FC Porto 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Portimonense
1-4 - Oct 3: Portimonense 82, Oliveirense 91. Lost. Odds: Portimonense 5.10, Oliveirense 1.13.
- May 17: CD Povoa 90, Portimonense 86. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: CD Povoa 68, Portimonense 71. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- May 9: Portimonense 90, CD Povoa 93. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: CD Povoa 71, Portimonense 66. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Braga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Braga dropped from 1.33 to 1.18 since they were first published.
- 1-4 in the last five for Portimonense.
- 4th vs 11th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BRA moneyline | 1.33 | moved down 1.18 |
| POR moneyline | 3.10 | moved up 4.35 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| BRA spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 | Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 | Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 |  Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Braga host Portimonense in the LPB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.