Bourges vs Toulouse Prediction & Odds

LFB Women Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start14:00ET Round 5

BourgesHome · 3-3 · 8th · 1.02

8715192429

ToulouseAway · 1-6 · 11th · 5.50

6918192210

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Bourges 15 19 24 29

Toulouse 18 19 22 10

FT Palais des sports du Prado · FrancePalais des sports du Prado · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.02 85%

Bourges to win edge −21.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.02 Bourges to win Confidence85% model 72.2% · market 93.7% edge −21.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.02 72.2% 93.7% −21.5% 85% Won

Total points O134.5 1.76 55.8% 52.7% +3.1% 59% Won

Point spread TOU +22.5 1.86 62.4% 49.6% +12.8% 75% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Bourges8773

Toulouse6964

Total 137 actual 156

Winning margin BOU by 9 actual BOU by 18

Chance to win BOU 72% BOU won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Bourges8773

Toulouse6964

Total 137 Margin BOU by 9 Win BOU 72% Actual 156 · BOU won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Bourges large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Toulouse

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Bourges vs Toulouse

Bourges Toulouse

Last 8 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Bourges 2-3

Oct 14: USK Prague 76, Bourges 55. Lost. Odds: USK Prague 1.38, Bourges 2.95.
Oct 11: Lyon 59, Bourges 72. Won. Odds: Lyon 2.40, Bourges 1.44.
Oct 3: Lattes Montpellier 90, Bourges 83. Lost. Odds: Lattes Montpellier 1.99, Bourges 1.69.
Sep 26: Bourges 81, Landerneau Bretagne 67. Won. Odds: Bourges 1.14, Landerneau Bretagne 4.68.
Sep 20: Landes 66, Bourges 53. Lost. Odds: Landes 2.10, Bourges 1.65.

Toulouse 0-5

Oct 10: Toulouse 37, Charnay Bourgogne Sud 79. Lost. Odds: Toulouse 3.97, Charnay Bourgogne Sud 1.18.
Oct 7: Tronche Meylan 62, Toulouse 53. Lost. Odds: Tronche Meylan 1.45, Toulouse 2.50.
Sep 26: ESB Villeneuve 70, Toulouse 55. Lost. Odds: ESB Villeneuve 1.11, Toulouse 5.06.
May 12: Toulouse 68, Lyon 75. Lost. No odds on record.
May 6: Toulouse 69, Angers 93. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BOU moneyline	1.01	moved up 1.02
TOU moneyline	15.00	moved down 5.50
Total points	135.5	135.5
BOU spread	−22.5	−22.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LFB Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Landes	7	6	1	13	479	407	+72
2	Lattes Montpellier	7	6	1	13	515	503	+12
3	Flammes Carolo	7	5	2	12	510	431	+79
4	ESB Villeneuve	7	4	3	11	478	453	+25
5	Charnay Bourgogne Sud	7	4	3	11	540	486	+54
6	Lyon	7	4	3	11	483	463	+20
7	Landerneau Bretagne	7	3	4	10	455	496	−41
8	Bourges	6	3	3	9	442	419	+23
9	Tronche Meylan	7	1	6	8	458	525	−67
10	Angers	6	2	4	8	419	434	−15
11	Toulouse	7	1	6	8	399	508	−109
12	Chartres	5	1	4	6	324	377	−53

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play Out

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Bourges host Toulouse in the LFB Women on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.