Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul prediction
Botafogo
22
14
25
23
Caxias do Sul
24
16
21
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Botafogo8475Caxias do Sul8275Botafogo8475Caxias do Sul8275Total 150 Win BOT 52% Actual 166 · BOT won
Botafogo
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Caxias do Sul
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul
Botafogo
Caxias do Sul
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Botafogo at home, last 23 games · Caxias do Sul away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Botafogo 1, Caxias do Sul 1.
- Average total 145.0 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BOT by 1 Mar 22, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 22, 2026 NBB Caxias do Sul 67–68 Botafogo 135 pts
- Dec 8, 2025 NBB Botafogo 75–80 Caxias do Sul 155 pts
Last five games
Botafogo
0-5 - Oct 24: Pato 89, Botafogo 88. Lost. Odds: Pato 1.95, Botafogo 1.74.
- Oct 20: Flamengo 81, Botafogo 71. Lost. Odds: Flamengo 1.02, Botafogo 10.30.
- Apr 27: Botafogo 78, Franca 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Botafogo 79, Franca 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Franca 94, Botafogo 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Caxias do Sul
1-4 - Oct 20: Caxias do Sul 66, Minas 78. Lost. Odds: Caxias do Sul 4.50, Minas 1.17.
- Oct 17: Caxias do Sul 61, Cruzeiro 72. Lost. Odds: Caxias do Sul 2.07, Cruzeiro 1.47.
- Apr 30: Brasilia 71, Caxias do Sul 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 27: Caxias do Sul 66, Brasilia 63. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Caxias do Sul 70, Brasilia 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Botafogo coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Caxias do Sul coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Botafogo dropped from 1.71 to 1.42 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Caxias do Sul, 3 for Botafogo.
- 15th vs 16th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BOT moneyline | 1.71 | moved down 1.42 |
| CDS moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 2.70 |
| Total points | 152.5 | 152.5 |
| BOT spread | −1.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 | Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 | Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Botafogo host Caxias do Sul in the NBB on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.