Bonn vs Hamburg prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 170 Margin BON by 4 Win BON 58% Actual 168 · BON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Bonn vs Hamburg
Last 10 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Bonn at home, last 5 games · Hamburg away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bonn 2, Hamburg 0.
- Average total 165.5 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BON by 7 Feb 14, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 14, 2026 BBL Bonn 92–85 Hamburg 177 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 BBL Hamburg 68–86 Bonn 154 pts
Last five games
- Jun 4: Bonn 57, Bayern 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Bayern 91, Bonn 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 30: Bayern 83, Bonn 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 27: Bonn 66, Wurzburg 63. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: Wurzburg 82, Bonn 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Hamburg 90, Rostock 81. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Rostock 103, Hamburg 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Hamburg 73, Wurzburg 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Bamberg 85, Hamburg 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Ulm 81, Hamburg 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Bonn coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 167.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 20.3 — Bonn +7.1 per 100 possessions, Hamburg −13.2.
- 1-4 in the last five for Hamburg.
- 9th vs 18th in the BBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BON moneyline | 1.14 | moved up 1.17 |
| HAM moneyline | 5.00 | moved down 4.50 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 165.5 |
| BON spread | −10.5 | moved up −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bonn host Hamburg in the BBL on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.