BMS Herlev vs Vaerlose Prediction & Odds

Basketligaen Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start14:00ET

BMS HerlevHome · 1.85

992524172310

VaerloseAway · 2-6 · 9th · 1.80

1072325172418

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

BMS Herlev 25 24 17 23 10

Vaerlose 23 25 17 24 18

AOT Herlevhallen · DenmarkHerlevhallen

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

VAE +5.5 1.40 71%

Vaerlose +5.5 on the spread edge −12.2%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won VAE +5.5 1.40 Vaerlose +5.5 on the spread Confidence71% model 60.5% · market 72.7% edge −12.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.80 50.3% 56.7% −6.4% 51% Won

Total points O159.5 1.47 66.8% 64.9% +1.9% 83% Won

Point spread VAE +5.5 1.40 60.5% 72.7% −12.2% 71% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

BMS Herlev9981

Vaerlose10787

Total 168 actual 206

Winning margin VAE by 6 actual VAE by 8

Chance to win VAE 60% VAE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

BMS Herlev9981

Vaerlose10787

Total 168 Margin VAE by 6 Win VAE 60% Actual 206 · VAE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

BMS Herlev large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Vaerlose

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

BMS Herlev vs Vaerlose

BMS Herlev Vaerlose

Last 8 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

BMS Herlev 0-5

Oct 24: Bakken Bears 105, BMS Herlev 67. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.01, BMS Herlev 9.20.
Oct 18: Randers 93, BMS Herlev 71. Lost. Odds: Randers 1.01, BMS Herlev 11.00.
Oct 10: BMS Herlev 55, Team FOG Naestved 117. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 15.10, Team FOG Naestved –.
Oct 1: Holbaek-Stenhus 80, BMS Herlev 77. Lost. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.39, BMS Herlev 2.57.
Sep 26: BMS Herlev 95, Vejen 106. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 2.60, Vejen 1.37.

Vaerlose 0-5

Oct 24: Vaerlose 64, Holbaek-Stenhus 68. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 1.53, Holbaek-Stenhus 2.30.
Oct 18: Vaerlose 82, Bakken Bears 123. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 11.00, Bakken Bears 1.01.
Oct 8: Vejen 92, Vaerlose 80. Lost. Odds: Vejen 1.64, Vaerlose 2.05.
Oct 2: Horsens 50, Vaerlose 41. Lost. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Vaerlose 8.57.
Sep 27: Vaerlose 85, Randers 89. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 5.89, Randers 1.08.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
HER moneyline	2.40	moved down 1.85
VAE moneyline	1.50	moved up 1.80
Total points	165.5	165.5
HER spread	+4.5	moved down +1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basketligaen standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Team FOG Naestved	8	8	0	16	830	562	+268
2	Bakken Bears	7	7	0	14	739	533	+206
3	Horsens	8	6	2	14	701	635	+66
4	Svendborg	8	6	2	14	729	660	+69
5	Randers	8	5	3	13	762	686	+76
6	Copenhagen	7	4	3	11	573	571	+2
7	Holbaek-Stenhus	8	3	5	11	609	713	−104
8	Gladsaxe	8	2	6	10	623	720	−97
9	Vaerlose	8	2	6	10	659	736	−77
10	Vejen	8	2	6	10	648	764	−116
11	BMS Herlev	8	1	7	9	616	785	−169
12	Bears Academy	8	1	7	9	619	743	−124

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

BMS Herlev host Vaerlose in the Basketligaen on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.