BMS Herlev vs Team FOG Naestved Prediction & Odds

Basketligaen Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start09:30ET

BMS HerlevHome

5517121115

Team FOG NaestvedAway · 8-0 · 1st

11727353025

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

BMS Herlev 17 12 11 15

Team FOG Naestved 27 35 30 25

FT Herlevhallen · DenmarkHerlevhallen

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

O170.5 1.39 85%

Over 170.5 points edge +3.5%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won O170.5 1.39 Over 170.5 points Confidence85% model 69.3% · market 65.8% edge +3.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 — 74.8% 90.1% −15.3% 85% Won

Total points O170.5 1.39 69.3% 65.8% +3.5% 85% Won

Point spread HER +36.5 1.36 87.7% 70.0% +17.7% 72% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

BMS Herlev5584

Team FOG Naestved11797

Total 181 actual 172

Winning margin TFN by 13 actual TFN by 62

Chance to win TFN 75% TFN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

BMS Herlev5584

Team FOG Naestved11797

Total 181 Margin TFN by 13 Win TFN 75% Actual 172 · TFN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

BMS Herlev large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Team FOG Naestved

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

BMS Herlev vs Team FOG Naestved

BMS Herlev Team FOG Naestved

Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

BMS Herlev 2-3

Oct 1: Holbaek-Stenhus 80, BMS Herlev 77. Lost. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.39, BMS Herlev 2.57.
Sep 26: BMS Herlev 95, Vejen 106. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 2.60, Vejen 1.37.
Sep 23: BMS Herlev 70, Gladsaxe 102. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 1.67, Gladsaxe 2.05.
Sep 20: Bears Academy 75, BMS Herlev 82. Won. Odds: Bears Academy 1.18, BMS Herlev 4.10.
Apr 23: BMS Herlev 75, Amager 61. Won. No odds on record.

Team FOG Naestved 3-2

Sep 30: Team FOG Naestved 90, Copenhagen 64. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved 1.06, Copenhagen 6.38.
Sep 27: Horsens 73, Team FOG Naestved 101. Won. Odds: Horsens 2.35, Team FOG Naestved 1.46.
Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
May 25: Team FOG Naestved 81, Bakken Bears 87. Lost. No odds on record.
May 21: Bakken Bears 98, Team FOG Naestved 86. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
HER moneyline	15.10	15.10
Total points	177.5	moved up 178.5
HER spread	+29.5	+29.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basketligaen standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Team FOG Naestved	8	8	0	16	830	562	+268
2	Bakken Bears	7	7	0	14	739	533	+206
3	Horsens	8	6	2	14	701	635	+66
4	Svendborg	8	6	2	14	729	660	+69
5	Randers	8	5	3	13	762	686	+76
6	Copenhagen	7	4	3	11	573	571	+2
7	Holbaek-Stenhus	8	3	5	11	609	713	−104
8	Gladsaxe	8	2	6	10	623	720	−97
9	Vaerlose	8	2	6	10	659	736	−77
10	Vejen	8	2	6	10	648	764	−116
11	BMS Herlev	8	1	7	9	616	785	−169
12	Bears Academy	8	1	7	9	619	743	−124

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

BMS Herlev host Team FOG Naestved in the Basketligaen on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.