Blackwater Bossing vs Magnolia Hotshots prediction
Blackwater Bossing
25
25
25
26
Magnolia Hotshots
23
30
31
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Blackwater Bossing101102Magnolia Hotshots107102Blackwater Bossing101102Magnolia Hotshots107102Total 204 Win BLA 51% Actual 208 · MAG won
Blackwater Bossing vs Magnolia Hotshots
Blackwater Bossing
Magnolia Hotshots
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Blackwater Bossing 1, Magnolia Hotshots 0.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Over 195.5 0 of 1 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BLA by 8 Jul 17, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 17, 2026 Governors Cup Blackwater Bossing 89–81 Magnolia Hotshots 170 pts
Last five games
Blackwater Bossing
2-3 - Aug 5: Blackwater Bossing 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 28: Phoenix Fuelmasters 102, Blackwater Bossing 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 24: Blackwater Bossing 85, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 115. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 21: Meralco Bolts 116, Blackwater Bossing 114. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 17: Blackwater Bossing 89, Magnolia Hotshots 81. Won. No odds on record.
Magnolia Hotshots
4-1 - Aug 12: Magnolia Hotshots 115, Phoenix Fuelmasters 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 7: Magnolia Hotshots 105, Meralco Bolts 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 2: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 73, Magnolia Hotshots 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 31: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 98, Magnolia Hotshots 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 24: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Meralco Bolts 98. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Magnolia Hotshots coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 200.5 to 195.5 since it was first published.
- −8.9 points away — Magnolia Hotshots averaged 100.2 at home and 91.3 away this season.
- 6th vs 1st in the Governors Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BLA moneyline | 3.25 | moved up 3.40 |
| MAG moneyline | 1.28 | moved down 1.27 |
| Total points | 200.5 | moved down 195.5 |
| BLA spread | +8.5 | moved down +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 |  Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 | Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Blackwater Bossing host Magnolia Hotshots in the Governors Cup on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.