Bilbao vs San Pablo Burgos prediction
Bilbao
19
25
30
22
San Pablo Burgos
20
25
25
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bilbao9693San Pablo Burgos8788Bilbao9693San Pablo Burgos8788Total 181 Margin BIL by 5 Win BIL 63% Actual 183 · BIL won
Bilbao
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction San Pablo Burgos
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Bilbao vs San Pablo Burgos
Bilbao
San Pablo Burgos
Last 8 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Bilbao at home, last 4 games · San Pablo Burgos away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bilbao 1, San Pablo Burgos 1.
- Average total 182.0 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPB by 8 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 ACB San Pablo Burgos 96–88 Bilbao 184 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 ACB Bilbao 95–85 San Pablo Burgos 180 pts
Last five games
Bilbao
2-3 - Oct 6: Igokea 79, Bilbao 92. Won. Odds: Igokea 1.95, Bilbao 1.80.
- Oct 4: Leyma Coruna 104, Bilbao 101. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Leyma Coruna 2.06, Bilbao 1.73.
- Sep 26: Bilbao 107, Manresa 92. Won. Odds: Bilbao 1.34, Manresa 3.13.
- Jun 5: Bilbao 71, Valencia 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 3: Valencia 83, Bilbao 80. Lost. No odds on record.
San Pablo Burgos
3-2 - Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Lost. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
- Oct 4: Forca Lleida 81, San Pablo Burgos 94. Won. Odds: Forca Lleida 1.34, San Pablo Burgos 3.12.
- Sep 30: San Pablo Burgos 85, Cedevita Olimpija 81. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.44, Cedevita Olimpija 2.72.
- Sep 27: San Pablo Burgos 97, Baskonia 98. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.23, Baskonia 1.62.
- May 29: San Pablo Burgos 110, Granada 105. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 179.5 to 182.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.8 — Bilbao +3.1 per 100 possessions, San Pablo Burgos −3.7.
- 8th vs 13th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BIL moneyline | 1.36 | moved up 1.37 |
| SPB moneyline | 2.90 | moved up 2.98 |
| Total points | 179.5 | moved up 182.5 |
| BIL spread | −5.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 | Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bilbao host San Pablo Burgos in the ACB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.