Bigua vs Defensor prediction
Bigua
24
28
15
22
Defensor
19
31
15
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bigua8989Defensor8281Bigua8989Defensor8281Total 170 Margin BIG by 8 Win BIG 70% Actual 171 · BIG won
Bigua
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Defensor
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Bigua vs Defensor
Bigua
Defensor
Last 27 games each with full stats · all competitions
Bigua at home, last 17 games · Defensor away, last 21
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bigua 1, Defensor 1.
- Average total 177.5 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DEF by 22 Dec 18, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 18, 2025 Liga Uruguaya Defensor 98–76 Bigua 174 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Liga Uruguaya Bigua 91–90 Defensor 181 pts
Last five games
Bigua
3-2 - Oct 27: Urunday 91, Bigua 99. Won. Odds: Urunday 2.02, Bigua 1.62.
- Oct 23: Bigua 94, Larranaga 74. Won. Odds: Bigua 1.05, Larranaga 6.00.
- Oct 19: Bigua 92, Hebraica y Macabi 86. Won. Odds: Bigua 1.72, Hebraica y Macabi 1.95.
- May 11: Nacional 100, Bigua 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Bigua 82, Nacional 105. Lost. No odds on record.
Defensor
2-3 - Oct 19: Defensor 83, Goes 64. Won. Odds: Defensor 1.38, Goes 2.55.
- May 26: Penarol 93, Defensor 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 22: Defensor 61, Penarol 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: Penarol 101, Defensor 51. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 15: Defensor 85, Malvin 78. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Bigua coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Bigua dropped from 1.57 to 1.44 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 168.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.1 — Bigua +2.5 per 100 possessions, Defensor −5.6.
- 1st vs 11th in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BIG moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.44 |
| DEF moneyline | 2.17 | moved up 2.35 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 171.5 |
| BIG spread | −3.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bigua |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 |
| 2 |  Goes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 |
| 3 |  Malvin |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 |
| 4 |  Aguada |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 |
| 5 |  Atenas |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 |
| 6 |  Union Atletica |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 |
| 7 |  Urunday |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 |
| 8 |  Penarol |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 |
| 9 |  Nacional |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 |
| 10 |  Hebraica y Macabi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 |
| 11 | Defensor |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 |
| 12 |  Larranaga |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bigua host Defensor in the Liga Uruguaya on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.