Beroe vs Lok. Plovdiv prediction
Beroe
21
19
28
19
8
Lok. Plovdiv
24
15
26
22
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Beroe9583Lok. Plovdiv9889Beroe9583Lok. Plovdiv9889Total 172 Margin LOK by 6 Win LOK 64% Actual 193 · LOK won
Beroe
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Lok. Plovdiv
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Beroe vs Lok. Plovdiv
Beroe
Lok. Plovdiv
Last 28 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Beroe at home, last 17 games · Lok. Plovdiv away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Beroe 0, Lok. Plovdiv 3.
- Average total 186.3 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LOK by 13 Mar 22, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 22, 2026 NBL Lok. Plovdiv 96–83 Beroe 179 pts
- Jan 4, 2026 NBL Lok. Plovdiv 117–88 Beroe 205 pts
- Oct 27, 2025 NBL Beroe 86–89 Lok. Plovdiv 175 pts
Last five games
Beroe
0-5 - Oct 11: Botev Academic 88, Beroe 86. Lost. Odds: Botev Academic 1.42, Beroe 2.57.
- May 2: Beroe 80, Rilski Sportist 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Rilski Sportist 89, Beroe 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Beroe 89, Balkan 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Cherno More 117, Beroe 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Lok. Plovdiv
3-2 - Oct 14: Lok. Plovdiv 79, CSM Oradea 69. Won. Odds: Lok. Plovdiv 4.42, CSM Oradea 1.19.
- Oct 11: Spartak Pleven 73, Lok. Plovdiv 92. Won. Odds: Spartak Pleven 1.45, Lok. Plovdiv 2.55.
- Oct 7: VEF Riga 106, Lok. Plovdiv 83. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 1.07, Lok. Plovdiv 6.50.
- Jun 5: Balkan 81, Lok. Plovdiv 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Lok. Plovdiv 84, Balkan 78. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Beroe coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Beroe, 2 for Lok. Plovdiv.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Lok. Plovdiv.
- Over/under moved up from 173.5 to 177.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.4 — Beroe −8.7 per 100 possessions, Lok. Plovdiv +5.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BER moneyline | 3.80 | moved up 4.05 |
| LOK moneyline | 1.21 | moved down 1.20 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 177.5 |
| BER spread | +8.5 | +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Balkan |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 287 | +83 |
| 2 |  Cherno More |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 349 | 279 | +70 |
| 3 |  Rilski Sportist |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 368 | 305 | +63 |
| 4 |  Botev Academic |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 359 | 320 | +39 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 356 | 321 | +35 |
| 6 |  Spartak Pleven |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 341 | 307 | +34 |
| 7 |  Minyor |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 329 | 298 | +31 |
| 8 | Beroe |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 384 | 356 | +28 |
| 9 |  Shumen |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 278 | 292 | −14 |
| 10 |  CSKA Sofia |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 303 | 398 | −95 |
| 11 |  Levski |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 309 | 375 | −66 |
| 12 |  Polytechnica |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 289 | 388 | −99 |
| 13 |  Botev 2012 |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 263 | −40 |
| 14 |  Yambol |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 198 | 267 | −69 |
- Playoffs
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Beroe host Lok. Plovdiv in the NBL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.