Benfica vs Sanjoanense Prediction & Odds

LFB Women Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start10:00ET Round 2

BenficaHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.02

9727183121

SanjoanenseAway · 3-2 · 6th · 11.00

5013141310

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Benfica 27 18 31 21

Sanjoanense 13 14 13 10

FT Pavilhão Fidelidade · PortugalPavilhão Fidelidade · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.01 85%

Benfica to win edge −5.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.01 Benfica to win Confidence85% model 81.6% · market 87.0% edge −5.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.01 81.6% 87.0% −5.4% 85% Won

Total points O143.5 1.80 66.6% 50.7% +15.9% 78% Won

Point spread SAN +16.5 1.85 59.7% 49.3% +10.4% 69% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Benfica9782

Sanjoanense5069

Total 151 actual 147

Winning margin BEN by 13 actual BEN by 47

Chance to win BEN 82% BEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Benfica9782

Sanjoanense5069

Total 151 Margin BEN by 13 Win BEN 82% Actual 147 · BEN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Benfica large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Sanjoanense

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Benfica vs Sanjoanense

Benfica Sanjoanense

Last 9 and 24 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Benfica 4-1

Oct 4: Sporting CP 63, Benfica 75. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 3.20, Benfica 1.28.
Sep 27: Benfica 73, Gdessa Barreiro 31. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.25, Gdessa Barreiro 3.50.
May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Lost. No odds on record.
May 8: Benfica 73, Quinta Dos Lombos 69. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

Sanjoanense 2-3

Oct 3: Evora 72, Sanjoanense 74. Won. Odds: Evora 2.30, Sanjoanense 1.53.
Mar 22: Sanjoanense 75, Sporting CP 68. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Imortal 101, Sanjoanense 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 28: Sanjoanense 73, CAB Madeira 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 100, Sanjoanense 57. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BEN moneyline	1.07	moved down 1.02
SAN moneyline	7.50	moved up 11.00
Total points	143.5	moved up 146.5
BEN spread	−16.5	moved down −28.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LFB Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	CAB Madeira	5	5	0	10	391	347	+44
2	Benfica	5	4	1	9	409	329	+80
3	Quinta Dos Lombos	5	4	1	9	372	308	+64
4	Sporting CP	5	4	1	9	359	309	+50
5	Uniao Sportiva	5	3	2	8	376	378	−2
6	Sanjoanense	5	3	2	8	372	406	−34
7	Gdessa Barreiro	5	2	3	7	392	391	+1
8	Esgueira	5	2	3	7	343	359	−16
9	Barcelos	5	1	4	6	371	388	−17
10	GDRAR	5	1	4	6	329	374	−45
11	CDEFF	5	1	4	6	326	377	−51
12	SC Coimbroes	5	0	5	5	324	398	−74

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Benfica host Sanjoanense in the LFB Women on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.