Benfica vs Saarlouis prediction
Benfica
19
19
16
15
Saarlouis
13
18
18
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Benfica6974Saarlouis6670Benfica6974Saarlouis6670Total 144 Margin BEN by 4 Win BEN 58% Actual 135 · BEN won
Benfica vs Saarlouis
Benfica
Saarlouis
Last 9 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Benfica
4-1 - Oct 10: Benfica 97, Sanjoanense 50. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.02, Sanjoanense 11.00.
- Oct 4: Sporting CP 63, Benfica 75. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 3.20, Benfica 1.28.
- Sep 27: Benfica 73, Gdessa Barreiro 31. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.25, Gdessa Barreiro 3.50.
- May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Saarlouis
3-2 - Oct 11: Saarlouis 70, Freiburg 59. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Osnabruck 65, Saarlouis 63. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 1: Saarlouis 77, Geneve 56. Won. Odds: Saarlouis 1.03, Geneve 8.75.
- Sep 24: Geneve 75, Saarlouis 109. Won. Odds: Geneve 6.30, Saarlouis 1.07.
- Apr 6: Saarlouis 63, Marburg 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Benfica coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Benfica dropped from 2.24 to 1.72 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 141.5 to 135.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.3 — Benfica +20.1 per 100 possessions, Saarlouis +2.8.
- 1st vs 3rd in the EuroCup Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEN moneyline | 2.24 | moved down 1.72 |
| SAA moneyline | 1.55 | moved up 1.96 |
| Total points | 141.5 | moved down 135.5 |
| BEN spread | +3.5 | moved down +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup Women standings
Regular Season · Group I
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 223 | 202 | +21 |
| 2 |  Sopron |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 234 | 189 | +45 |
| 3 | Saarlouis |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 195 | 227 | −32 |
| 4 |  Student Nis |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 221 | 255 | −34 |
- Playoffs: 1/16-finals
- Ranking of third-placed teams
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Benfica host Saarlouis in the EuroCup Women on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.