Benfica vs BC Prievidza prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 177 Margin PRI by 7 Win PRI 63% Actual 181 · BEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Benfica vs BC Prievidza
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Benfica at home, last 6 games · BC Prievidza away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 17: Benfica 92, Oliveirense 67. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.11, Oliveirense 3.90.
- Oct 14: Benfica 96, Denizli Basket 91. Won. Odds: Benfica 2.18, Denizli Basket 1.42.
- Oct 11: FC Porto 93, Benfica 86. Lost. Odds: FC Porto 1.75, Benfica 1.95.
- Oct 7: Bakken Bears 81, Benfica 91. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.97, Benfica 1.78.
- Oct 3: Benfica 84, Sporting CP 71. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.10, Sporting CP 5.20.
- Oct 17: BC Prievidza 122, Nitra Blue Wings 79. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.16, Nitra Blue Wings 3.35.
- Oct 13: BC Prievidza 108, Absheron Lions 84. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.06, Absheron Lions 4.60.
- Oct 10: BC Prievidza 100, Inter Basket 50. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.05, Inter Basket 8.68.
- Oct 6: Denizli Basket 83, BC Prievidza 69. Lost. Odds: Denizli Basket 1.10, BC Prievidza 6.15.
- Oct 3: Kosice Wolves 77, BC Prievidza 104. Won. Odds: Kosice Wolves 5.61, BC Prievidza 1.13.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for BC Prievidza coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 171.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.2 — Benfica +10.3 per 100 possessions, BC Prievidza +18.5.
- 4-1 in the last five for Benfica.
- 1st vs 5th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEN moneyline | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| PRI moneyline | 3.15 | moved up 3.25 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| BEN spread | −7.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Benfica host BC Prievidza in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
