Bendigo vs Townsville prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Win BEN 50% Actual 159 · TOW won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Bendigo vs Townsville
Last 26 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Bendigo at home, last 13 games · Townsville away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bendigo 1, Townsville 2.
- Average total 141.3 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TOW by 18 Feb 8, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 8, 2026 NBL Women Townsville 84–66 Bendigo 150 pts
- Dec 31, 2025 NBL Women Townsville 61–73 Bendigo 134 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 NBL Women Bendigo 66–74 Townsville 140 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Canberra Capitals 94, Bendigo 92. Lost. Odds: Canberra Capitals 2.20, Bendigo 1.42.
- Feb 17: Bendigo 75, Perth Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: Perth Lynx 86, Bendigo 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Townsville 84, Bendigo 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 1: Bendigo 64, Perth Lynx 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 25: Townsville 77, Sydney 90. Lost. Odds: Townsville 1.29, Sydney 3.25.
- Oct 20: Adelaide Lightning 68, Townsville 86. Won. Odds: Adelaide Lightning 3.85, Townsville 1.16.
- Oct 17: Perth Lynx 86, Townsville 83. Lost. Odds: Perth Lynx 2.70, Townsville 1.27.
- Mar 1: Perth Lynx 105, Townsville 108. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 26: Townsville 88, Perth Lynx 79. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Bendigo coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Townsville dropped from 1.50 to 1.32 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 162.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.2 — Bendigo +0.1 per 100 possessions, Townsville +10.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Townsville.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEN moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 3.24 |
| TOW moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.32 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| BEN spread | +4.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 176 | 165 | +11 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 429 | 381 | +48 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 273 | 266 | +7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 241 | 242 | −1 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 337 | 312 | +25 | |
| 6 | Geelong Venom | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 309 | 319 | −10 |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 345 | −46 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 307 | 309 | −2 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 230 | 262 | −32 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bendigo host Townsville in the NBL Women on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.