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Bendigo vs Geelong Venom prediction

NBL Women Monday, November 2, 2026Mon, Nov 2 Start03:00ET Round 3
BendigoHome · 0-3 · 9th · Moneyline odds down 1.18
701st quarter 142nd quarter 193rd quarter 204th quarter 17
Geelong VenomAway · Moneyline odds up 3.75
771st quarter 162nd quarter 103rd quarter 224th quarter 29
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bendigo 14 19 20 17
Geelong Venom 16 10 22 29
FT Red Energy Arena · AustraliaRed Energy Arena · Round 3
Best tip of the game
Point spread Lost
BEN +4.5 odds down 1.29 79% confidence
Bendigo +4.5 on the spread edge +8.4%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost BEN +4.5 odds down 1.29 Bendigo +4.5 on the spread Confidence79% model 79.7% · market 71.3% edge +8.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 1.18 71.5% 61.8% +9.7% 71% Lost
Total points U166.5 odds down 1.40 74.3% 65.4% +8.9% 74% Won
Point spread BEN +4.5 odds down 1.29 79.7% 71.3% +8.4% 79% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Bendigo7082
Geelong Venom7772
Total 154 actual 147
Winning margin BEN by 10 actual GEE by 7
Chance to win BEN 71% GEE won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Bendigo7082
Geelong Venom7772

Total 154 Margin BEN by 10 Win BEN 71% Actual 147 · GEE won

Bendigo host Geelong Venom in the NBL Women on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.