Bendigo vs Geelong Venom prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 154 Margin BEN by 10 Win BEN 71% Actual 147 · GEE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Bendigo vs Geelong Venom
Last 26 and 24 games with full stats · all competitions
Bendigo at home, last 13 games · Geelong Venom away, last 12
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bendigo 3, Geelong Venom 1.
- Average total 142.3 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 0 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GEE by 7 Jan 30, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 30, 2026 NBL Women Geelong Venom 80–73 Bendigo 153 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 NBL Women Geelong Venom 71–77 Bendigo 148 pts
- Dec 5, 2025 NBL Women Bendigo 93–58 Geelong Venom 151 pts
- Oct 28, 2025 NBL Women Bendigo 62–55 Geelong Venom 117 pts
Last five games
- Oct 27: Bendigo 68, Townsville 91. Lost. Odds: Bendigo 3.24, Townsville 1.32.
- Oct 17: Canberra Capitals 94, Bendigo 92. Lost. Odds: Canberra Capitals 2.20, Bendigo 1.42.
- Feb 17: Bendigo 75, Perth Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: Perth Lynx 86, Bendigo 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Townsville 84, Bendigo 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 31: Geelong Venom 68, Canberra Capitals 77. Lost. Odds: Geelong Venom 1.60, Canberra Capitals 2.08.
- Oct 24: Geelong Venom 74, Southside 69. Won. Odds: Geelong Venom 1.42, Southside 2.45.
- Oct 15: Tasmania Jewels 103, Geelong Venom 90. Lost. Odds: Tasmania Jewels 1.86, Geelong Venom 1.81.
- Feb 6: Canberra Capitals 76, Geelong Venom 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 31: Sydney 76, Geelong Venom 89. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Bendigo coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Bendigo dropped from 1.48 to 1.18 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Bendigo, 1 for Geelong Venom.
- Net rating difference of 6.4 — Bendigo +0.1 per 100 possessions, Geelong Venom −6.3.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Bendigo.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEN moneyline | 1.48 | moved down 1.18 |
| GEE moneyline | 2.36 | moved up 3.75 |
| Total points | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| BEN spread | −3.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 176 | 165 | +11 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 429 | 381 | +48 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 273 | 266 | +7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 241 | 242 | −1 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 337 | 312 | +25 | |
| 6 | Geelong Venom | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 309 | 319 | −10 |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 345 | −46 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 307 | 309 | −2 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 230 | 262 | −32 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bendigo host Geelong Venom in the NBL Women on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.