Belfius Mons vs Zwolle prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 154 Margin ZWO by 8 Win ZWO 67% Actual 131 · ZWO won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Belfius Mons vs Zwolle
Last 29 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Belfius Mons 1, Zwolle 1.
- Average total 179.5 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZWO by 9 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 BNXT League Belfius Mons 80–89 Zwolle 169 pts
- Dec 14, 2025 BNXT League Zwolle 94–96 OT Belfius Mons 190 pts · OT
Last five games
- Oct 9: Spirou Charleroi 98, Belfius Mons 60. Lost. Odds: Spirou Charleroi 1.04, Belfius Mons 7.50.
- Oct 3: Belfius Mons 63, Antwerp Giants 100. Lost. Odds: Belfius Mons 14.30, Antwerp Giants –.
- May 9: Den Bosch 107, Belfius Mons 57. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Belfius Mons 79, Spirou Charleroi 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Belfius Mons 76, Antwerp Giants 116. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Oostende 98, Zwolle 70. Lost. Odds: Oostende 1.22, Zwolle 3.83.
- Oct 4: Zwolle 70, Den Bosch 59. Won. Odds: Zwolle 1.58, Den Bosch 2.29.
- Sep 16: Bakken Bears 89, Zwolle 78. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.40, Zwolle 2.76.
- Sep 12: Zwolle 70, Donar Groningen 62. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 10: Zwolle 90, Leiden 74. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Belfius Mons coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 23.4 — Belfius Mons −24.3 per 100 possessions, Zwolle −0.9.
- 16th vs 9th in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEL moneyline | 3.80 | moved down 3.75 |
| ZWO moneyline | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Total points | 157.5 | 157.5 |
| BEL spread | +10.5 | moved up +11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 | |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 | |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Belfius Mons host Zwolle in the BNXT League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
