Beijing vs Shenzhen prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 185 Margin BEI by 5 Win BEI 64% Actual 182 · BEI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Beijing vs Shenzhen
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Beijing at home, last 4 games · Shenzhen away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Beijing 1, Shenzhen 1.
- Average total 210.0 points per meeting
- Over 183.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SHE by 8 Jan 11, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 11, 2026 CBA Shenzhen 118–110 Beijing 228 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 CBA Beijing 104–88 Shenzhen 192 pts
Last five games
- Oct 20: Beijing 96, Guangdong 78. Won. Odds: Beijing 1.14, Guangdong 5.00.
- Oct 18: Jilin 82, Beijing 84. Won. Odds: Jilin 3.55, Beijing 1.14.
- May 22: Beijing 85, Shanghai 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Beijing 66, Shanghai 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Shanghai 88, Beijing 99. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 19: Jiangsu Dragons 81, Shenzhen 89. Won. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 5.00, Shenzhen 1.14.
- Oct 16: Shanghai 102, Shenzhen 68. Lost. Odds: Shanghai 1.13, Shenzhen 5.50.
- May 23: Shenzhen 88, Zhejiang Guangsha 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Shenzhen 91, Zhejiang Guangsha 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: Zhejiang Guangsha 92, Shenzhen 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Beijing dropped from 1.24 to 1.02 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 174.5 to 183.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 56.7 — Beijing +34.9 per 100 possessions, Shenzhen −21.8.
- 1st vs 12th in the CBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEI moneyline | 1.24 | moved down 1.02 |
| SHE moneyline | 3.50 | moved up 10.50 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 183.5 |
| BEI spread | −9.5 | moved down −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Beijing host Shenzhen in the CBA on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.