Beijing vs Guangzhou prediction
Beijing
32
32
30
23
Guangzhou
16
19
18
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Beijing11793Guangzhou7384Beijing11793Guangzhou7384Total 177 Margin BEI by 9 Win BEI 71% Actual 190 · BEI won
Beijing
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Guangzhou
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Beijing vs Guangzhou
Beijing
Guangzhou
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Beijing at home, last 4 games · Guangzhou away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Beijing 3, Guangzhou 0.
- Average total 188.7 points per meeting
- Over 180.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BEI by 9 Apr 8, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 8, 2026 CBA Guangzhou 94–103 Beijing 197 pts
- Apr 3, 2026 CBA Beijing 97–89 Guangzhou 186 pts
- Mar 14, 2026 CBA Guangzhou 85–98 Beijing 183 pts
Last five games
Beijing
3-2 - Oct 22: Beijing 120, Shenzhen 62. Won. Odds: Beijing 1.02, Shenzhen 10.50.
- Oct 20: Beijing 96, Guangdong 78. Won. Odds: Beijing 1.14, Guangdong 5.00.
- Oct 18: Jilin 82, Beijing 84. Won. Odds: Jilin 3.55, Beijing 1.14.
- May 22: Beijing 85, Shanghai 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Beijing 66, Shanghai 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Guangzhou
2-3 - Oct 23: Tianjin 102, Guangzhou 86. Lost. Odds: Tianjin 2.75, Guangzhou 1.40.
- Oct 20: Nanjing Tongxi 81, Guangzhou 114. Won. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 1.54, Guangzhou 2.35.
- Oct 18: Guangzhou 90, Zhejiang Chouzhou 79. Won. Odds: Guangzhou 2.62, Zhejiang Chouzhou 1.29.
- May 3: Guangdong 90, Guangzhou 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Guangzhou 64, Guangdong 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Beijing coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Beijing.
- Over/under moved down from 183.5 to 180.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 40.3 — Beijing +34.9 per 100 possessions, Guangzhou −5.4.
- 188.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 180.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEI moneyline | 1.03 | moved down 1.01 |
| GUA moneyline | 9.75 | moved up 16.00 |
| Total points | 183.5 | moved down 180.5 |
| BEI spread | −16.5 | moved down −18.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beijing |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 |
| 2 |  Shanghai |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 |
| 3 |  Liaoning |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 |
| 4 |  Beijing Royal Fighters |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 |
| 5 |  Shanxi Zhongyu |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 |
| 6 |  Zhejiang Chouzhou |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 |
| 7 |  Zhejiang Guangsha |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 |
| 8 | Guangzhou |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 |
| 9 |  Fujian |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 |
| 10 |  Shandong |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 |
| 11 |  Jilin |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 |
| 12 |  Shenzhen |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 |
| 13 |  Xinjiang |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 |
| 14 |  Guangdong |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 |
| 15 |  Qingdao |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 |
| 16 |  Sichuan |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 |
| 17 |  Nanjing Tongxi |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 |
| 18 |  Tianjin |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 |
| 19 |  Jiangsu Dragons |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 |
| 20 |  Ningbo Rockets |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Beijing host Guangzhou in the CBA on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.