Beijing vs Guangdong prediction
Beijing
24
34
20
18
Guangdong
25
19
19
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Beijing9691Guangdong7887Beijing9691Guangdong7887Total 178 Margin BEI by 4 Win BEI 60% Actual 174 · BEI won
Beijing
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Guangdong
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Beijing vs Guangdong
Beijing
Guangdong
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Beijing at home, last 4 games · Guangdong away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Beijing 4, Guangdong 1.
- Average total 185.2 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BEI by 15 May 12, 2026
Meetings
- May 12, 2026 CBA Beijing 88–73 Guangdong 161 pts
- May 9, 2026 CBA Guangdong 102–99 OT Beijing 201 pts · OT
- May 6, 2026 CBA Beijing 102–94 Guangdong 196 pts
- Mar 27, 2026 CBA Guangdong 93–96 Beijing 189 pts
- Jan 1, 2026 CBA Beijing 105–74 Guangdong 179 pts
Last five games
Beijing
2-3 - Oct 18: Jilin 82, Beijing 84. Won. Odds: Jilin 3.55, Beijing 1.14.
- May 22: Beijing 85, Shanghai 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Beijing 66, Shanghai 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Shanghai 88, Beijing 99. Won. No odds on record.
- May 15: Shanghai 87, Beijing 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Guangdong
2-3 - Oct 18: Nanjing Tongxi 96, Guangdong 95. Lost. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 2.62, Guangdong 1.29.
- May 12: Beijing 88, Guangdong 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Guangdong 102, Beijing 99. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Beijing 102, Guangdong 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Guangdong 90, Guangzhou 80. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Beijing dropped from 1.64 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 36.7 — Beijing +34.9 per 100 possessions, Guangdong −1.8.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Beijing.
- 185.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
- 1st vs 14th in the CBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BEI moneyline | 1.64 | moved down 1.14 |
| GUA moneyline | 2.15 | moved up 5.00 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved down 175.5 |
| BEI spread | −6.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beijing |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 |
| 2 |  Shanghai |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 |
| 3 |  Liaoning |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 |
| 4 |  Beijing Royal Fighters |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 |
| 5 |  Shanxi Zhongyu |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 |
| 6 |  Zhejiang Chouzhou |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 |
| 7 |  Zhejiang Guangsha |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 |
| 8 |  Guangzhou |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 |
| 9 |  Fujian |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 |
| 10 |  Shandong |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 |
| 11 |  Jilin |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 |
| 12 |  Shenzhen |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 |
| 13 |  Xinjiang |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 |
| 14 | Guangdong |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 |
| 15 |  Qingdao |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 |
| 16 |  Sichuan |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 |
| 17 |  Nanjing Tongxi |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 |
| 18 |  Tianjin |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 |
| 19 |  Jiangsu Dragons |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 |
| 20 |  Ningbo Rockets |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Beijing host Guangdong in the CBA on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.