BC Roma vs Tortona prediction
BC Roma
25
31
24
28
Tortona
23
21
15
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
BC Roma10891Tortona7084BC Roma10891Tortona7084Total 175 Margin ROM by 7 Win ROM 71% Actual 178 · ROM won
BC Roma vs Tortona
BC Roma
Tortona
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
BC Roma at home, last 6 games · Tortona away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
BC Roma
0-2 - Sep 30: Bahcesehir Kol. 91, BC Roma 78. Lost. Odds: Bahcesehir Kol. 1.14, BC Roma 5.35.
- Sep 26: Treviso 109, BC Roma 94. Lost. Odds: Treviso 2.36, BC Roma 1.56.
Tortona
2-3 - Sep 30: Rigas Zelli 86, Tortona 84. Lost. Odds: Rigas Zelli 4.04, Tortona 1.22.
- Sep 27: Tortona 101, Verona 93. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.16, Verona 5.01.
- Sep 19: Tortona 90, Venezia 98. Lost. Odds: Tortona 1.72, Venezia 2.05.
- May 26: Venezia 89, Tortona 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 24: Tortona 89, Venezia 71. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 7.8 — BC Roma −0.3 per 100 possessions, Tortona −8.1.
- 12th vs 14th in the Lega A standings.
- Different pace — BC Roma averaged 78.9 possessions per game, Tortona 73.9.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ROM moneyline | 1.82 | moved down 1.77 |
| TOR moneyline | 1.90 | moved up 2.00 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved down 176.5 |
| ROM spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Bologna |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 |
| 3 |  Treviso |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 |
| 4 |  Maxima Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 |
| 5 |  Varese |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 |
| 6 |  Olimpia Milano |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 |
| 7 |  Trento |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 |
| 8 |  Verona |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 |
| 9 |  Venezia |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 |
| 10 |  Udine |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 |
| 11 |  Trieste |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 |
| 12 | BC Roma |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 |
| 13 |  Reggiana |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 |
| 14 | Tortona |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 |
| 15 |  Scafati |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 |
| 16 |  Cantu |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BC Roma host Tortona in the Lega A on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.