BC Prievidza vs Absheron Lions prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin PRI by 15 Win PRI 79% Actual 192 · PRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
BC Prievidza vs Absheron Lions
Last 12 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 10: BC Prievidza 100, Inter Basket 50. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.05, Inter Basket 8.68.
- Oct 6: Denizli Basket 83, BC Prievidza 69. Lost. Odds: Denizli Basket 1.10, BC Prievidza 6.15.
- Oct 3: Kosice Wolves 77, BC Prievidza 104. Won. Odds: Kosice Wolves 5.61, BC Prievidza 1.13.
- Sep 30: BC Prievidza 98, Samobor 65. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.18, Samobor 4.05.
- Sep 27: BC Prievidza 97, BKM Lucenec 79. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.17, BKM Lucenec 4.20.
- Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Lost. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.
- Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 12, 2025: Trefl Sopot 98, Absheron Lions 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 5, 2025: BC Kalev/Cramo 71, Absheron Lions 101. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on BC Prievidza dropped from 1.14 to 1.06 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Absheron Lions, 2 for BC Prievidza.
- Net rating difference of 32.4 — BC Prievidza +18.5 per 100 possessions, Absheron Lions −13.9.
- 4-1 in the last five for BC Prievidza.
- 5th vs 6th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PRI moneyline | 1.14 | moved down 1.06 |
| ABS moneyline | 5.47 | moved down 4.60 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| PRI spread | −11.5 | moved down −15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BC Prievidza host Absheron Lions in the FIBA Europe Cup on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.