BC Olimpas Palanga vs Mazeikiai prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin BOP by 2 Win BOP 55% Actual 156 · BOP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
BC Olimpas Palanga vs Mazeikiai
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
BC Olimpas Palanga at home, last 4 games · Mazeikiai away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BC Olimpas Palanga 0, Mazeikiai 2.
- Average total 154.0 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 2 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting MAZ by 7 Jan 29, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 29, 2026 NKL BC Olimpas Palanga 73–80 Mazeikiai 153 pts
- Oct 2, 2025 NKL Mazeikiai 81–74 BC Olimpas Palanga 155 pts
Last five games
- Mar 14: Jurbarkas 90, BC Olimpas Palanga 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: BC Olimpas Palanga 72, Plunges Olimpas 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: BC Olimpas Palanga 94, Ukmerges Stekas 97. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 5: Alytaus Alytus 97, BC Olimpas Palanga 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 28: BC Olimpas Palanga 73, Neptunas 2 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 23: Jurbarkas 85, Mazeikiai 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Mazeikiai 87, Jurbarkas 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Mazeikiai 113, Vytis VDU 99. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Suduva-Mantinga 99, Mazeikiai 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Rytas 2 94, Mazeikiai 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for BC Olimpas Palanga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on BC Olimpas Palanga dropped from 1.70 to 1.48 since they were first published.
- 1-4 away for Mazeikiai this season.
- Net rating difference of 27.6 — BC Olimpas Palanga +14.9 per 100 possessions, Mazeikiai −12.7.
- +6.3 points at home — BC Olimpas Palanga averaged 96.8 at home and 90.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BOP moneyline | 1.70 | moved down 1.48 |
| MAZ moneyline | 2.05 | moved up 2.40 |
| Total points · regulation | 162.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| BOP spread · regulation | −2.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BC Olimpas Palanga host Mazeikiai in the NKL on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.