BC Lulea vs Nassjo prediction
BC Lulea
21
28
25
17
Nassjo
16
14
13
31
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
BC Lulea9194Nassjo7484BC Lulea9194Nassjo7484Total 178 Margin LUL by 10 Win LUL 73% Actual 165 · LUL won
BC Lulea
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Nassjo
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
BC Lulea vs Nassjo
BC Lulea
Nassjo
Last 9 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
BC Lulea at home, last 4 games · Nassjo away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BC Lulea 1, Nassjo 2.
- Average total 179.3 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NAS by 7 Mar 6, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 6, 2026 Basketligan BC Lulea 93–100 Nassjo 193 pts
- Dec 19, 2025 Basketligan BC Lulea 109–74 Nassjo 183 pts
- Sep 23, 2025 Basketligan Nassjo 84–78 BC Lulea 162 pts
Last five games
BC Lulea
3-2 - Oct 9: Boras 81, BC Lulea 113. Won. Odds: Boras 1.23, BC Lulea 3.75.
- Oct 2: BC Lulea 108, Sloga Uppsala 77. Won. Odds: BC Lulea 1.10, Sloga Uppsala 6.29.
- Sep 29: Jamtland 96, BC Lulea 87. Lost. Odds: Jamtland 1.40, BC Lulea 2.81.
- Sep 25: BC Lulea 95, Koping Stars 91. Won. Odds: BC Lulea 1.22, Koping Stars 3.70.
- Apr 18: Norrkoping 106, BC Lulea 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Nassjo
2-3 - Oct 9: Hogsbo 85, Nassjo 81. Lost. Odds: Hogsbo 1.51, Nassjo 2.39.
- Sep 29: Nassjo 79, Norrkoping 89. Lost. Odds: Nassjo 2.93, Norrkoping 1.36.
- Sep 25: Boras 75, Nassjo 79. Won. Odds: Boras 1.12, Nassjo 5.65.
- Mar 30: Nassjo 82, Norrkoping 113. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Nassjo 86, Norrkoping 80. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 23.1 — BC Lulea +18.0 per 100 possessions, Nassjo −5.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Nassjo.
- +6.5 points at home — BC Lulea averaged 100.5 at home and 94.0 away this season.
- 179.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 177.5.
- 3rd vs 7th in the Basketligan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUL moneyline | 1.12 | moved up 1.14 |
| NAS moneyline | 3.80 | moved down 3.55 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved up 177.5 |
| LUL spread | −10.5 | moved down −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sodertalje |
8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 |
| 2 |  Jamtland |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 |
| 3 | BC Lulea |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 |
| 4 |  Norrkoping |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 |
| 5 |  Uppsala |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 |
| 6 |  Boras |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 |
| 7 | Nassjo |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 |
| 8 |  Koping Stars |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 |
| 9 |  Hogsbo |
7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 |
| 10 |  Umea |
8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 |
| 11 |  Sloga Uppsala |
7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BC Lulea host Nassjo in the Basketligan on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.