BC Lulea vs Hogsbo prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 179 Margin LUL by 13 Win LUL 82% Actual 179 · LUL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
BC Lulea vs Hogsbo
Last 9 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BC Lulea 3, Hogsbo 0.
- Average total 170.7 points per meeting
- Over 180.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUL by 14 Feb 16, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 16, 2026 Basketligan Hogsbo 78–92 BC Lulea 170 pts
- Dec 8, 2025 Basketligan BC Lulea 97–73 Hogsbo 170 pts
- Nov 3, 2025 Basketligan Hogsbo 66–106 BC Lulea 172 pts
Last five games
- Oct 16: Sodertalje 85, BC Lulea 82. Lost. Odds: Sodertalje 2.84, BC Lulea 1.39.
- Oct 13: BC Lulea 91, Nassjo 74. Won. Odds: BC Lulea 1.14, Nassjo 3.55.
- Oct 9: Boras 81, BC Lulea 113. Won. Odds: Boras 1.23, BC Lulea 3.75.
- Oct 2: BC Lulea 108, Sloga Uppsala 77. Won. Odds: BC Lulea 1.10, Sloga Uppsala 6.29.
- Sep 29: Jamtland 96, BC Lulea 87. Lost. Odds: Jamtland 1.40, BC Lulea 2.81.
- Oct 16: Hogsbo 75, Jamtland 89. Lost. Odds: Hogsbo 2.95, Jamtland 1.36.
- Oct 13: Sodertalje 93, Hogsbo 85. Lost. Odds: Sodertalje 1.27, Hogsbo 2.67.
- Oct 9: Hogsbo 85, Nassjo 81. Won. Odds: Hogsbo 1.51, Nassjo 2.39.
- Oct 2: Uppsala 92, Hogsbo 88. Lost. Odds: Uppsala 1.95, Hogsbo 1.80.
- Sep 29: Hogsbo 96, Boras 90. Won. Odds: Hogsbo 3.06, Boras 1.34.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for BC Lulea.
- Over/under moved up from 178.5 to 180.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 28.7 — BC Lulea +18.0 per 100 possessions, Hogsbo −10.7.
- +6.0 points at home — BC Lulea averaged 100.5 at home and 94.5 away this season.
- 170.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 180.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUL moneyline | 1.07 | moved down 1.06 |
| HOG moneyline | 6.50 | 6.50 |
| Total points | 178.5 | moved up 180.5 |
| LUL spread | −13.5 | −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 | |
| 11 | 7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BC Lulea host Hogsbo in the Basketligan on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
