Bayern vs Hamburg Prediction & Odds

BBL Sunday, October 25, 2026Sun, Oct 25 Start11:30ET Round 6

BayernHome · 5-1 · 1st · 1.01

9627152925

HamburgAway · 1-5 · 18th · 16.00

7723181224

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Bayern 27 15 29 25

Hamburg 23 18 12 24

FT BMW Park · GermanyBMW Park · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

BAY -12.5 1.29 56%

Bayern −12.5 on the spread edge −16.5%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won BAY -12.5 1.29 Bayern −12.5 on the spread Confidence56% model 56.0% · market 72.5% edge −16.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.01 93.0% 94.1% −1.1% 85% Won

Total points O158.5 1.29 70.9% 71.9% −1.0% 71% Won

Point spread BAY -12.5 1.29 56.0% 72.5% −16.5% 56% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Bayern9694

Hamburg7775

Total 169 actual 173

Winning margin BAY by 19 actual BAY by 19

Chance to win BAY 87% BAY won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Bayern9694

Hamburg7775

Total 169 Margin BAY by 19 Win BAY 87% Actual 173 · BAY won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Bayern large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Hamburg

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Bayern vs Hamburg

Bayern Hamburg

Last 16 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Bayern 3-2

Oct 22: Bayern 91, Dubai 107. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.96, Dubai 1.72.
Oct 18: Hamburg 63, Bayern 85. Won. Odds: Hamburg 8.75, Bayern 1.05.
Oct 16: Besiktas 95, Bayern 87. Lost. Odds: Besiktas 1.61, Bayern 2.31.
Oct 14: Anadolu Efes 93, Bayern 101. Won. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.45, Bayern 2.75.
Oct 10: Chemnitz 83, Bayern 87. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 10.50, Bayern 1.03.

Hamburg 1-4

Oct 18: Hamburg 63, Bayern 85. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 8.75, Bayern 1.05.
Oct 11: Frankfurt 89, Hamburg 78. Lost. Odds: Frankfurt 1.37, Hamburg 2.95.
Oct 3: Hamburg 84, Rostock 91. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 1.95, Rostock 1.82.
Sep 27: Oldenburg 75, Hamburg 74. Lost. Odds: Oldenburg 1.35, Hamburg 3.09.
Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BAY moneyline	1.01	1.01
HAM moneyline	6.25	moved up 16.00
Total points	168.5	moved up 170.5
BAY spread	−19.5	−19.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Bayern host Hamburg in the BBL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.