Bayern vs Barcelona prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 185 Margin BAY by 3 Win BAY 62% Actual 172 · BAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Bayern vs Barcelona
Last 16 and 17 games with full stats · all competitions
Bayern at home, last 8 games · Barcelona away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bayern 0, Barcelona 2.
- Average total 156.5 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAR by 26 Apr 17, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 17, 2026 EuroLeague Barcelona 95–69 Bayern 164 pts
- Nov 12, 2025 EuroLeague Bayern 74–75 Barcelona 149 pts
Last five games
- Oct 25: Bayern 96, Hamburg 77. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.01, Hamburg 16.00.
- Oct 22: Bayern 91, Dubai 107. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.96, Dubai 1.72.
- Oct 18: Hamburg 63, Bayern 85. Won. Odds: Hamburg 8.75, Bayern 1.05.
- Oct 16: Besiktas 95, Bayern 87. Lost. Odds: Besiktas 1.61, Bayern 2.31.
- Oct 14: Anadolu Efes 93, Bayern 101. Won. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.45, Bayern 2.75.
- Oct 24: Barcelona 99, Basket Zaragoza 81. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.13, Basket Zaragoza 5.00.
- Oct 22: Olimpia Milano 81, Barcelona 89. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.67, Barcelona 2.05.
- Oct 18: Joventut Badalona 116, Barcelona 86. Lost. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.79, Barcelona 1.86.
- Oct 16: Barcelona 100, Olympiacos 105. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 2.50, Olympiacos 1.46.
- Oct 13: Barcelona 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 87. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.41, Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.90.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Bayern dropped from 2.15 to 1.86 since they were first published.
- 18th vs 8th in the EuroLeague standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAY moneyline | 2.15 | moved down 1.86 |
| BAR moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.79 |
| Total points | 176.5 | 176.5 |
| BAY spread | +2.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bayern host Barcelona in the EuroLeague on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.