Bayern vs Alba Berlin prediction
Bayern
22
18
26
29
Alba Berlin
12
12
18
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bayern9593Alba Berlin6177Bayern9593Alba Berlin6177Total 170 Margin BAY by 16 Win BAY 84% Actual 156 · BAY won
Bayern
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Alba Berlin
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Bayern vs Alba Berlin
Bayern
Alba Berlin
Last 16 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Bayern at home, last 8 games · Alba Berlin away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bayern 2, Alba Berlin 3.
- Average total 166.4 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALB by 3 Jun 21, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 21, 2026 BBL Bayern 81–84 Alba Berlin 165 pts
- Jun 19, 2026 BBL Alba Berlin 71–61 Bayern 132 pts
- Jun 17, 2026 BBL Alba Berlin 83–91 Bayern 174 pts
- Jun 14, 2026 BBL Bayern 79–86 Alba Berlin 165 pts
- Jun 12, 2026 BBL Bayern 102–94 Alba Berlin 196 pts
Last five games
Bayern
3-2 - Sep 24: Hapoel Tel Aviv 84, Bayern 86. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.33, Bayern 3.29.
- Sep 20: Bayern 108, Bamberg 72. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.10, Bamberg 6.45.
- Jun 21: Bayern 81, Alba Berlin 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 19: Alba Berlin 71, Bayern 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 17: Alba Berlin 83, Bayern 91. Won. No odds on record.
Alba Berlin
4-1 - Sep 24: Alba Berlin 94, Frankfurt 83. Won. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.15, Frankfurt 5.16.
- Sep 18: Alba Berlin 89, Chemnitz 82. Won. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.30, Chemnitz 3.32.
- Jun 21: Bayern 81, Alba Berlin 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 19: Alba Berlin 71, Bayern 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 17: Alba Berlin 83, Bayern 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Alba Berlin coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Alba Berlin.
- 166.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
- 1st vs 11th in the BBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAY moneyline | 1.17 | moved down 1.14 |
| ALB moneyline | 4.50 | moved up 5.38 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| BAY spread | −9.5 | moved down −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 |
| 2 |  Trier |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 |
| 3 |  Frankfurt |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 |
| 4 |  Syntainics MBC |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 |
| 5 |  Ludwigsburg |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 |
| 6 |  Wurzburg |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 |
| 7 |  Bamberg |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 |
| 8 |  Rostock |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 |
| 9 |  Bonn |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 |
| 10 |  Basketball Braunschweig |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 |
| 11 | Alba Berlin |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 |
| 12 |  Ulm |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 |
| 13 |  Oldenburg |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 |
| 14 |  Jena |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 |
| 15 |  Vechta |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 |
| 16 |  Chemnitz |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 |
| 17 |  Phoenix Hagen |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 |
| 18 |  Hamburg |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bayern host Alba Berlin in the BBL on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.