Bay Arena Phoenix vs Sportiva Italiana Prediction & Odds

WBLA Women Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start19:00ET Final

Bay Arena PhoenixHome · 1-1 · 2nd · 3.10

8721232122

Sportiva ItalianaAway · 2-0 · 1st · 1.30

8210222030

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Bay Arena Phoenix 21 23 21 22

Sportiva Italiana 10 22 20 30

FT Centro Deportivo Ismenia Pauchard DemierCentro Deportivo Ismenia Pauchard Demier · Final

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

2 1.30 51%

Sportiva Italiana to win edge −28.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 1.30 Sportiva Italiana to win Confidence51% model 42.3% · market 70.5% edge −28.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 51%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.30 42.3% 70.5% −28.2% 51% Lost

Total points U144.5 1.82 49.7% 50.0% −0.3% 51% Lost

Point spread BAP +7.5 1.87 48.2% 50.0% −1.8% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Bay Arena Phoenix8769

Sportiva Italiana8270

Total 139 actual 169

Winning margin SPO by 1 actual BAP by 5

Chance to win SPO 52% BAP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Bay Arena Phoenix8769

Sportiva Italiana8270

Total 139 Margin SPO by 1 Win SPO 52% Actual 169 · BAP won

Last five games

Bay Arena Phoenix 3-2

Oct 3: Leones Quilpue 72, Bay Arena Phoenix 79. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.26, Bay Arena Phoenix 3.40.
Oct 2: Bay Arena Phoenix 104, Defensor 61. Won. Odds: Bay Arena Phoenix 1.95, Defensor 1.72.
Oct 1: Sportiva Italiana 106, Bay Arena Phoenix 73. Lost. Odds: Sportiva Italiana 1.33, Bay Arena Phoenix 3.00.
Sep 30: Bay Arena Phoenix 72, SESI Araraquara 69. Won. Odds: Bay Arena Phoenix 1.52, SESI Araraquara 2.32.
Nov 2, 2024: Indeportes Antioquia 61, Bay Arena Phoenix 53. Lost. No odds on record.

Sportiva Italiana 3-2

Oct 3: Sportiva Italiana 80, SESI Araraquara 73. Won. Odds: Sportiva Italiana 1.09, SESI Araraquara 5.90.
Oct 1: Sportiva Italiana 106, Bay Arena Phoenix 73. Won. Odds: Sportiva Italiana 1.33, Bay Arena Phoenix 3.00.
Sep 29: SESI Araraquara 44, Sportiva Italiana 66. Won. Odds: SESI Araraquara 1.30, Sportiva Italiana 3.10.
Nov 2, 2024: Union Florida 80, Sportiva Italiana 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Nov 1, 2024: Bay Arena Phoenix 94, Sportiva Italiana 93. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BAP moneyline	3.10	3.10
SPO moneyline	1.30	1.30
Total points	144.5	moved up 148.5
BAP spread	+7.5	moved up +8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WBLA Women standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Sportiva Italiana	2	2	0	4	172	117	+55
2	Bay Arena Phoenix	2	1	1	3	145	175	−30
3	SESI Araraquara	2	0	2	2	113	138	−25

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Bay Arena Phoenix host Sportiva Italiana in the WBLA Women on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions