Bauru vs Sao Jose prediction
Bauru
23
11
25
24
Sao Jose
22
20
17
9
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bauru8385Sao Jose6877Bauru8385Sao Jose6877Total 162 Margin BAU by 8 Win BAU 75% Actual 151 · BAU won
Bauru
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Sao Jose
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Bauru vs Sao Jose
Bauru
Sao Jose
Last 28 and 26 games with full stats · all competitions
Bauru at home, last 21 games · Sao Jose away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bauru 1, Sao Jose 1.
- Average total 171.0 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAU by 25 Mar 11, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 11, 2026 NBB Sao Jose 71–96 Bauru 167 pts
- Dec 3, 2025 NBB Bauru 84–91 Sao Jose 175 pts
Last five games
Bauru
2-3 - Oct 18: Flamengo 81, Bauru 82. Won. Odds: Flamengo 1.20, Bauru 4.20.
- Apr 29: Paulistano 71, Bauru 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Bauru 88, Paulistano 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Bauru 80, Paulistano 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Paulistano 80, Bauru 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Sao Jose
0-5 - Oct 19: Franca 90, Sao Jose 59. Lost. Odds: Franca 1.09, Sao Jose 6.75.
- Apr 27: Mogi 81, Sao Jose 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Mogi 79, Sao Jose 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Sao Jose 70, Mogi 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Uniao Corinthians 97, Sao Jose 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Sao Jose coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sao Jose dropped from 3.25 to 2.70 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 152.5 to 155.5 since it was first published.
- 10th vs 18th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAU moneyline | 1.17 | moved up 1.27 |
| SAO moneyline | 3.25 | moved down 2.70 |
| Total points | 152.5 | moved up 155.5 |
| BAU spread | −9.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 | Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 | Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bauru host Sao Jose in the NBB on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.